Murphy|7月 23, 2026 01:31
The Investor Confidence Index is still underwater for now, but it's already pretty close to the zero line.
If the rebound continues, based on the last timeline, I estimate it could return to the zero line or above in about 20 days.
If it's just a rebound, then this might be about it (maybe it won't even take 20 days).
If it's a reversal, we can confirm once the Confidence Index enters the green confidence zone.
I can't be certain, or rather, neither scenario is 100%. So, I'll prepare trading plans for both situations (though I think the first scenario is more likely).
If it's a rebound, I'll look for opportunities to take partial profits from my current positions, leaving more room for adjustments later.
If there's a chance of a reversal, I'll add to my positions on the right side and set proper stop-losses.
Just like last time when the rebound hit 78, I added to my positions on the right side, but when it couldn't break 82 and pulled back to 78, I stopped out at the same level.
The purpose of analysis isn't to predict but to prepare myself in advance.
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