貝格先生🐢|6月 11, 2026 01:55
Continuing the discussion on RUP: Why is it said that we are not far from the bottom of the bear
Continuing from yesterday's analysis post (quoted below), today I plan to extract the RUP separately,
Provide another perspective for monitoring the bottom area.
Whether from the previous Cointime Price or Realized Price,
Or the bottom signal of PSIP<50%, these indicators all indicate one thing:
We may only be one mile away from the bottom of the bear.
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The indicator in the attached image is Mr. Berg's veteran artifact since its establishment: RUP.
RUP, The full name is' Relative Unrealized Profit ', translated as' Relative Unrealized Profit or Loss' in Chinese,
Mainly used to measure the overall profitability of the market, it is a highly accurate cyclical indicator.
Detailed Tutorial on RUP Metrics
(1) Https://((((((((x.com)))))/market_gegar/status/1874672257362276464
(2) Https://((((((((x.com)))))/market_gegar/status/1876502016740266199
I believe Mr. Berg's old friends all know:
Whether it is a clear clearance at the beginning of 2025 (https://((((((((((x.com))))))/market_gegar/status/188154696353459419),
Or short selling from July to October 2025 BTC(https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1975013719634776177),
The main basis for both operations cannot be separated from the strong signal of "RUP",
For friends interested in in-depth research, it is strongly recommended to refer to the above link 。
And today, I plan to use the perspective of RUP again,
To explain and cross validate why we are not far from the bottom of the bear market.
As shown in the attached figure:
I have labeled every super bottom of BTC since 2012 with the corresponding RUP as shown in the figure.
Although the values vary slightly each time, the approximate range is around 0.30-0.38,
During last week's downfall below 60K, the lowest level for RUP was around 0.351,
It has basically entered the 'bottom area of the RUP perspective'.
Golden Pit Tracking Series (17): Latest Data from the "Four Major Deep Bear Bottom Hunting Models"
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2062713685639049363
If combined with existing on chain models, such as the already triggered PSIP<50% signal,
Or it could be the 'deep bear valuation model with only one final step left',
The conclusion is also the same as what I mentioned earlier:
We are currently very close to the bottom of the bear market, and it would be even more ideal if we could fall near Cointime. ''
The first glimmer of hope: PSIP bear market bottom signal begins to emerge
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2063800180227588374
Finally, it remains the old saying: maintain patience, adhere to discipline, and the dawn will eventually come.
The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone
//
Related reading resources
A Brief Discussion on the Ideal Framework of 'The Last Trembling' from the Perspective of Liquidity
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2064164984574394473
Resonance of the Golden Pit: Epic Periodic Bottom hunting Region
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2062363769737826379
The slaughter of US funds: a phase reversal of this sharp decline
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2061989188967559423
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