Big Bitcoin ($BTC) won't directly reverse into a bull market. The overall trend is still primarily downward. If resistance levels aren't broken → stick to short positions and bearish outlook. Currently, it's in a downward consolidation channel, and the trend is very weak. 1: If the market performs well, it might first break the upper horizontal resistance level, fake a breakout above 72,000, trigger a short squeeze, and then start a new round of major declines. Similar to the bear market structure from January 24 to March 29, 2022: break previous highs → trap bulls → then crash again. Monthly chart shows volume increasing on declines, no bottoming signals, don't try to guess the bottom. 2: If the market performs poorly and directly breaks the key support at 62,760, it will lead to steady declines + volume-driven drops, initiating a new downward trend. Short-term for Bitcoin ($BTC): Short at 67,300 and 68,200, stop loss at 68,800. Short-term for Ethereum ($ETH): Short at 1,988 and 2,025, stop loss at 2,054. For now, sell high and buy low, take profits quickly, and be cautious of short squeezes. Waiting until April to short might be safer. Mid-to-long term: Focus on waiting for a clear bearish trend opportunity.