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律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|2月 15, 2026 02:35
**[Next Week Outlook: Fed Minutes and PCE Data Incoming, Supreme Court May Speak on Trump Tariff Case]** BlockBeats News, February 15: The global market is set to experience a "data bombardment" week next week. The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its January monetary policy meeting at 03:00 on Thursday, with the market looking for more clues about the interest rate cut path for 2026. On Friday at 21:30, the U.S. fourth-quarter GDP preliminary data and core PCE price index will take center stage. As the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, if the PCE reading exceeds expectations, it may influence the pace of policy easing this year. On the central bank front, several Fed officials will deliver intensive speeches, the Reserve Bank of Australia will release its meeting minutes, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce its rate decision. The market generally expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to hold rates steady, while the Reserve Bank of Australia may emphasize inflationary risks. In terms of asset performance, spot gold remains in high-level consolidation, rebounding to close higher after a sharp decline during the week. Crude oil surged and then retreated, with market rumors suggesting OPEC+ may resume production increases in April. The U.S. dollar's movement will be a key variable; if it does not hit new lows, it may maintain relative strength against the backdrop of the upcoming tariff ruling. Meanwhile, demand for U.S. Treasury bonds is heating up, potentially triggering a new round of asset reallocation. On major events, the Supreme Court of the United States will release opinions on February 20, including a ruling on the Trump "Liberation Day" tariff policy case. If the ruling is unfavorable, it could have a significant impact on related tariff measures and influence global trade and market sentiment. On the corporate side, earnings season is nearing its end. Walmart will release its fiscal fourth-quarter results, with the market focusing on key metrics such as e-commerce growth, AI applications, and tariff impacts. Its guidance may have a significant influence on retail and overall market sentiment.
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Timeline

3月 13, 22:49The decline in the S&P 500 Index may trigger a policy response
3月 12, 15:04Traders no longer fully price in the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations for 2026.
3月 12, 13:05The inflation rate rose to 1.21%
3月 12, 00:06The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 99.4%.
3月 11, 19:30Goldman Sachs releases a report showing positive market signals
3月 10, 20:12Wall Street was flat today, with mixed gains and losses.
3月 09, 15:29The decision on strategic petroleum reserves will be announced this week.
3月 03, 12:51U.S. Treasury yields soar across the board
3月 03, 11:38Rate cut expectations plummeted sharply
3月 02, 09:08The probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates has surged to 99.5%.

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