laogo.ai|Jan 12, 2026 12:33
Let’s take a look at some data
BTC spot orderbook delta
We draw a line along the delta peaks as shown in the chart
It’s clear that the delta value is trending downward
Now let’s switch to the contract orderbook delta
Similarly, we draw a line along the delta peaks as shown in the chart
The delta value is also trending downward, but the decline is less steep compared to the spot market
At the same time, note that the short-term delta shows a decrease in selling pressure
Next, let’s look at the taker buy/sell intensity comparison
We’ve drawn two lines along the peaks and troughs respectively
It shows that taker buy intensity is decreasing, while taker sell intensity is also reducing
This indicates a shrinking volume, with long and short intensity entering a near-balanced phase
From this, we can reasonably make the following judgments:
1. The price will likely hit a lower low, though we won’t speculate on the exact level here
2. Taker buy/sell intensity imbalance should occur soon, and we can’t rule out the possibility of a short squeeze happening between the 13th and January 20th, the anniversary of Trump’s inauguration
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