
HIGER|Dec 30, 2025 16:24
Hai Ge's daily observation of 2025, 1230- The Federal Reserve continues to release water, let's take a reassurance pill!
Yesterday's high diving actually gave Shanghai a premonition that today should be a good rebound market, because I have repeatedly mentioned the current weak balance pattern, and if there is too much decline, it will naturally rise.
In addition, seeing news about water release during the day today further boosted today's upward trend, and I have also done a comprehensive analysis. You can check my post: https://(x.com)/0xtiger/status/2005909824907931985
At present, the Federal Reserve is using various tools to inject liquidity into the market. Compared to making unrealistic speculations about whether to continue cutting interest rates in the future, this continuous release of funds is the most direct, which also gives us all investors peace of mind.
As a result, there has been a significant improvement in indicators, but the trend has not yet formed.
Today, a total of 32 indicators were observed, with 7 indicators showing bullish, 12 indicators showing bearish, and 6 indicators showing uncertain. Among the key selling indicators, 2 are bullish, 4 are bearish, and 1 is uncertain.
At the macro level, there are several messages that need to be taken seriously:
1. The Federal Reserve has just released a large amount of liquidity into the market through overnight repo tools and balance sheet expansion, with an overnight repo of 16 billion and a balance sheet expansion of 25 billion;
2. Trump continues to pressure the Federal Reserve, threatening to consider suing and firing Powell. The candidate for Federal Reserve Chair is expected to be announced in January;
3. Tether Treasury just minted 1 billion USDT on TRON network;
4. Meta spent billions of dollars acquiring the domestic AI product Manus, which sends a signal to the market that there will still be fierce competition in AI in 2026 and will stimulate the capital market, including the cryptocurrency market.
It is obvious that although many investors are generally bearish, there is no negative news in the market, only a lot of bearish indicators. Is the outflow of ETFs negative? No, it's just the result.
Specifically regarding the corresponding indicators, it should be emphasized that:
1. At present, funds continue to flow out, as evidenced by the total amount of stablecoins and the USDC exchange rate;
2. The emotional aspect is still generally bearish, with both individuals and institutions being bearish;
3. The yields of USD DXY and treasury bond bonds are still fluctuating, but they should be weakening on the trend;
4. VDD and BTC100 still show that the current entry and position building range is worth paying attention to;
5. At present, the Federal Reserve has injected a lot of liquidity into the market, and in the future, it will at least return to the level before the US government shutdown.
Many people are already at a dead end, but they should still maintain a relatively optimistic attitude towards the future and actively seek new opportunities.
Finally, provide today's operational suggestions:
1. Last time, there was no reason for the market to rise, which was suitable for short positions. Now, it is slowly rising, and during the opening period of the US stock market, tomorrow's data is likely to be ETF buying. Therefore, it is not recommended to be short at this time. Long orders buried at the bottom earlier can be balanced appropriately;
2. Long term partners continue to firmly buy and build positions, waiting for a turning point;
3. Shanzhai speculation has not yet become a trend, and ambushes are easy to trap and occupy a large amount of capital costs. It is recommended to pay more attention to opportunities on the chain.