星球日报|Dec 22, 2025 14:07
[Kalshi: Prediction markets outperform Wall Street in forecasting inflation, with an average error 40% lower than general market expectations]
Odaily Planet Daily News - A Kalshi research report shows that over the past 25 months, prediction markets have outperformed Wall Street in forecasting inflation. Based on market predictions of year-over-year changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), from February 2023 to mid-2025, the average error is 40% lower than general market expectations. This difference becomes more pronounced when there is a significant deviation between actual values and expected values. (CoinDesk)
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