[Probability of the Fed Maintaining Rates Unchanged in January Next Year at 73.4% Before CPI Release] Jin10 Data, December 18 – Before the CPI release, according to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 26.6%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 73.4%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 45.8%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 43.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 10.9%.