Fine processing details of point positioning Content word count: 3600 Reading time: 3 minutes In the first class, we elaborated on how to learn and build our own trading system with the correct mindset through the psychological construction of our "inner" and "outer" selves In the second class, we explained how to allocate positions correctly through the impact of positions on psychology, and how to use leverage correctly based on reasonable positions through specific market fluctuations Today is the third class, and Tang Ge will briefly talk about how to refine the positioning of points and how to increase the probability in trading from a technical and practical perspective? Before that, I would like to mention that the content originally placed at the top of the tweet was about basic courses. Anyone who knows how to read comprehension for sixth grade elementary school should be able to understand it. As long as they know how to perform addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division operations for third grade elementary school, they will be able to apply it. Based on this simple foundation, we will explain the details to everyone: My personal trading philosophy is: the premise for conducting reasonable technical analysis is to select the appropriate currency; Then, in the appropriate currency, create a suitable structure; The approximate range of points that can be reached by placing an order in advance within a suitable structure; Within the interval, the average method is used to ensure the maximum probability of receiving orders while reasonably reducing the holding cost within the interval. These questions may seem complicated, but they are actually a bit difficult to articulate. They can be simply viewed as three questions from arrival to departure: 1、 How to make a coin holding choice? 2、 Which positions are most likely to rise or fall? 3、 How to effectively control the cost of holding positions? 1、 How to make a coin holding choice? 1. Most of the coins in this market will go to zero, and the main positions in real trading must be placed in the mainstream. Don't be brainwashed into using your main positions to play knockoff. In this sense, the essence of many knockoffs is fraud, which is killing pigs. Long term+knockoffs are a false proposition in the current cryptocurrency circle. To avoid such incidents from happening to yourself, you only need to do one thing, which is: The reason why you operate a certain coin is because its trend conforms to your trading logic, rather than hearing from others how good the coin is, that's all. So in daily trading, our main position that we can prioritize is BTC, and the second tier can be ETH, SOL, as well as BNB, OKB, BGB among platform coins The rise and fall of these coins operate within the framework, ensuring to the greatest extent possible that they will not return to zero without special factors, and will also experience positive feedback as the industry grows. (The popular knockoffs in each bull market will rotate, but BTC, ETH, and platform coins from top exchanges will not) So, whether it's short-term or long-term, whether it's a bull market or a bear market, these few coins are the ones that need to be studied, learned, and involved in daily trading, with a focus on taking positions to control risks. 2. Where there is volatility, there is opportunity, and earning money is always right. Of course, there will be fluctuations for every currency, specifically referring to all varieties including the first currency. Let's talk about shanzhai. Sugar doesn't recommend shanzhai because it's not playable. On the one hand, I'm trying to avoid suspicion, and on the other hand, there are too many people who can't control themselves. I dare not take the initiative to post, and usually only reply to everyone's questions. But shanzhai can definitely play, everyone just needs to understand its nature of fluctuations within a certain range, such as the rise on the long side and the rise on the short side, and decide whether to participate and how to participate based on its nature? I won't list the technical details of the operation. You can refer to the Lifeline Tactics and related content that was previously placed at the top, as well as a large number of video and text explanations for review and learning. Playing Shanzhai mainly reduces risks by holding positions for a certain period of time, and strictly implements take profit and stop loss strategies, and closes when opportunities arise. 2、 Which positions are most likely to rise or fall? 1. The market is alive, and we need to learn to listen to its voice through K-lines and determine its position through moving averages. Computers can only display a flat image of this living organism. But since it is a living organism, it and its living environment must be multidimensional. We need to construct a multidimensional trend portrait of the market in our minds in order to better understand and predict the trend. If you do not have this multidimensional understanding in your mind, your technical analysis will never be considered beginner. Three dimensional static: Assuming the market is a rectangle, the width of the rectangle is between the low and high points of price fluctuations, and the time axis is the length of the rectangle. 1H is included in 4H, and 4H is included in 12H. This relationship is the height of the rectangle. So, the trend of the same currency at different time levels can be seen as large rectangles containing small rectangles, and small rectangles containing smaller rectangles. The gap between each rectangle is theoretically the range in which prices can operate in adjacent levels. Multidimensional dynamics: If this rectangle is placed on the road, it can be seen as placing your habitual time level on the moving average band. The width of the road is the range of high and low points that the market can operate within, and the direction of the road is the potential twists and turns that the market is about to experience. I have previously explained to you the short position after a 15 minute top divergence, which is a trading model with a high probability of profitability in short-term trading. If we use the above three-dimensional thinking to look at it, it's like a car driving to the far right of the road, then it can only drive in the left direction afterwards. Of course, it cannot be ruled out that there are no obstacles on the road surface, and the car may take a shortcut and drive directly to the adjacent road. This is due to a structural change, based on the new road conditions. That's the feeling, go ahead and realize it for yourself. Due to time constraints, I won't write anything extra. 2. On this three-dimensional basis, Which positions are most likely to rise or fall? We will take the core framework of 'good buying points arise during downturns, and good selling points arise during upswings' to examine the structure. Taking "Which positions are most likely to rise?" as an example, and then applying it to the core framework of "good buying points arise during a decline", we will find that the "low long" and "breakthrough retracement" mentioned in Sugar Brother's article are all waiting for the appropriate "decline" to buy in different structures. Today's topic is the refinement of point processing details. If it is spot goods, taking the trend of Da Bing, which fluctuates by no more than 3% per day, as an example, it does not involve significant fluctuations or liquidation factors, and can easily replenish positions or take profits and stop losses. But when it comes to contracts, even if the buying and selling logic of spot goods is the same as that of contracts, it cannot be simply applied under the premise of liquidation. The previous text discussed the logic of contracts being short, flat, and fast. Here, we will take the 15 minute level as an example: (1) On the one hand, wait for the reversal after the 15 minute MACD divergence mentioned earlier; (2) On the one hand, by consolidating the upward structure through small-scale support at a large level or looking at the long and short after oversold; (3) Finally, after the K-line and moving average reverse, the price reaches a high sell or low buy state that is suppressed or supported by the relevant pattern. This is a personal exploration and commonly used range of three minimum stop loss probabilities. 3、 How to effectively control the cost of holding positions? This is the only question in the three classes that I can answer clearly, with a standard answer and short content. How to ensure the maximum probability of receiving orders and effectively reduce holding costs within the estimated order placement area? After Tang Ge provides the positioning for each article, the (1:2) marked at the end is taken as an example, which is the ratio of head warehouse to tail warehouse. The head warehouse buys 1000U, and the tail warehouse buys 2000U, in order to achieve the effect of lowering the average price. The common ratio is 1:2, and there are also 1:1:2. Hang according to your own habits. You can also explore according to your own habits, but these two ratios are the most classic when estimating the point range for placing orders. For example, if the estimated core support for a certain coin is at 96, it is reasonable to place orders between 100 and 90, as support is a region and never a point. What we need to solve is hanging too close and not making money, hanging too far and not being able to connect: hanging too close and losing blood, and other problems! At this point, all you need to do is apply your third grade level skills in addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division. 1. Fixed point hanging order Taking the 3000U position above as an example, if you see support at 96, you have hung 3000U (which can buy 31.25 coins) at 96, But in actual trends, there may be several situations as follows: (1) The price may be as low as 97, and hanging at 96 is just not possible; (2) Or in other words, if your estimated support is at 96, the price drops below 90 to stop falling, and then rebounds to 105, you can earn a price difference of 9U; (3) Or in other words, if your estimated support is at 96, the price will directly fall below, and the high point of the second draw will only be 88, resulting in a loss of 8U from the draw cost. From now on, something magical is about to happen This is something that everyone knows but cannot do well, which is the category of not exploring externally and not reflecting internally that was discussed in the first class. 2. If there is a 1:2 pending order Taking the 96 support pending order as an example, let's use a different approach. We will extend the acceptance interval up to 100 and down to 90, with a purchase of 1000U for the first position and a supplement of 2000U for the last position to calculate: (1) From the perspective of the amount of coins received: Head position: 1000 ÷ 100=10 coins Tail position: 2000 ÷ 90=22.22 coins Total: 32.2 coins, Average price: 3000 ÷ 32.2=93.167U In the case of receiving all 3000U from the split warehouse, there is an additional 0.95 coins compared to 31.25 coins directly from 96. The average price of 93.167 is also 2.833 lower than directly hanging at 96 (2) From the perspective of volatility risk coefficient: Assuming the price drops to 97 and then rebounds to 105, you can receive a 1000U position with a top position of 100, and earn a difference of 10 coins and 8U in the 1000U position, Assuming that the positions of 100 and 90 are both tied at 1:2, your average order price is 93.167, and then rebounds to 105. Compared with the price difference of 31.25 coins and 9U earned by tying 96 to 3000U, this time on the basis of an additional 0.95 coins, you can earn a price difference of 11.83U and an additional 2.83U Assuming that the positions of 100 and 90 are both stuck at 1:2, your average order acceptance price is 93.167, and then the price continues to fall below, with a secondary rebound high at 88, resulting in a cost loss of 5.167U Compared to two pending order modes: In the first article Fixed pending orders cannot be received, so there is no profit, Hanging in batches can earn money In the second article If all 3000U is received, a fixed pending order will earn a price difference of 31.25 coins and 9U; By placing orders in batches, you can earn a price difference of 32.2 coins and 11.83U, an additional 0.95 coins, and an additional price difference of 2.83U In Article 3 When all 3000U are received, Fixed pending orders result in a loss of 31.25 coins and a price difference of 8U, while batch pending orders result in a loss of 32.2 coins and a price difference of 5.167U. Although there is an additional 0.95 coins, the loss is 2.83U less Coin trading is a game of numbers. After comparing the three, for the same position, one can "earn more and lose less" and the other can "make less thanks". Do you know the reason! BTC