DC大于C
DC大于C|12月 04, 2025 05:53
The rebound around 94 didn't hold. Yesterday, the ADP small non-farm payroll data was released, showing a negative 32,000. The employment situation isn't looking great. The probability of a rate cut by the CME in December is nearing 90%. Sentiment is still stable, just waiting for the Fed's interest rate meeting. This month is still highly uncertain, not only because of Powell's speech but also whether Japan will implement a rate hike. Plus, there's Christmas and New Year coming up. As I mentioned yesterday, the fluctuation in the 83-93 range is still quite significant. I made a chart using @binancezh's trend data. Don't criticize me for always using this chart—it’s just that recovery trends take time, you know. I've mentioned this many times in quoted tweets. If we can maintain range-bound fluctuations this month, that would be good. Let's first see what Powell says at the 12/11 interest rate meeting.
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