December 1, 2025 There are more and more teachers on the homepage discussing the Kondratieff cycle. The first time I came across the concept of the Kondratieff cycle was through Principal (Jiangnan Fenqing), who mentioned Mr. Zhou Jintao's March 2016 speech, 'Life is a Kondratieff Cycle.' I remember that many people in the Principal's community at the time commented on this concept as 'Believing in the Kondratieff cycle is **.' Principal's core viewpoints: · Predicting large cycles with a deviation of one or two years is normal, but personal life spans are limited, and opportunities to make money are often concentrated in just one or two years. · Strictly following predictions will most likely cause you to miss out on massive profits that you may never earn again in your lifetime. (Betting on the main narrative of the present is more important than betting on the large cycle.) · The time window for personal wealth opportunities is extremely short and cannot be precisely matched to large cycles. (Betting on the main narrative of the present is more important than betting on the large cycle.) Principal's core logic: Opportunities are created by action. Predictions, if wrong even once out of ten times, could lead to disastrous outcomes. He opposes using cycles to frame personal development and emphasizes that opportunities should be sensed through practice, not predictions! ————————— In Web3 & Crypto, If ordinary people with small funds go all in on large cycles, Zhaozhao believes that relying solely on BTC's performance within the large cycle, ordinary people with small funds will find it very hard to turn their fortunes around. So what can they rely on? The only thing they can rely on is the main narrative. While relying on the main narrative, you also need to stay close to people with good financial luck! People with good fortune, and top-tier agency institutions. ————————— The End: For small fund players standing at the end of 2025, even the 'All in BTC and wait for the cycle' type of 'pseudo-certainty' opportunity is gone. The only thing left is five words: Bet on the main narrative.