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简体繁體English
|Legacy
BTCBTC
💲76879.22
-
0.65%
ETHETH
💲2114.22
-
0.76%
SOLSOL
💲85.84
+
0.92%
HYPEHYPE
💲59.53
+
17.02%
ZECZEC
💲642.89
+
9.52%
USDCUSDC
💲1.00
-
0%

Arthur Hayes
Arthur Hayes|11月 29, 2025 23:44
The Tether folks are in the early innings of running a massive interest rate trade. How I read this audit is they think the Fed will cut rates which crushes their interest income. In response, they are buying gold and BTC that should in theory moon as the price of money falls. A roughly 30% decline in the gold + BTC position would wipe out their equity, and then USDT would be in theory insolvent. I'm sure some large holders and exchanges will demand a real-time view of their B/S so they can assess the solvency risk of Tether. Get out your popcorn, I expect the MSM to run wild with this, especially all the editors with TDS who want to shit on Lutnick and Cantor for backing this stablecoin.(Arthur Hayes)
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Timeline

12月 25, 07:49BTC lags behind gold, future target $200,000
12月 22, 11:34FOMC members are unwilling to support a fourth consecutive rate cut.
12月 21, 08:49Tom Lee's Outlook on Market Trends for 2026
12月 19, 22:43Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Interest rates should be lowered to address risks in the job market
12月 19, 14:25The default rate of U.S. companies has decreased, but the risk of re-default remains.
12月 18, 14:02U.S. CPI rises by 2.7%, lower than expected
12月 18, 13:35The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January 2026 has risen to 28.8%.
12月 18, 13:01Hassett stated that it is appropriate for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates now.
12月 17, 18:34The Federal Reserve begins purchasing government bonds and injecting liquidity
12月 16, 18:00Employment data proves the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates faster

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