2025.11.27 Macro Market Analysis Good afternoon, brothers! As mentioned in last week’s and this week’s analysis, BTC will rebound above $90K this week and then fluctuate. Now the price has already surpassed $90K. Over the next few days, it’s unlikely to see a big surge, and it will continue to fluctuate for several days. Next week, it’s expected to break through $93K in one go. The whole world is waiting for the non-farm payroll data on December 16. Yesterday’s retail data came in below expectations, which is favorable for rate cuts. Currently, the probability of a rate cut in December is 85%. However, if the non-farm data is bearish, there could be another pullback breaking below $90K. If it’s bullish, we could see a sharp rebound to $97K. When others panic, I’m greedy; when others are greedy, I’m out. Anything below $86K is an excellent opportunity to buy the dip. An old cycle has ended. After this round of decline, a new cycle will begin. Before the new cycle, Bitcoin’s ancient whales have made too much profit and have been selling continuously. Multiple ancient BTC whales have already sold off completely. Early ETH ICO whales, including distributed capital whales, have also mostly exited. Once the new cycle starts, without these profit-taking positions, the market will be much lighter. The old whales had a BTC cost of $1,000, while the current whales, mainly institutions, have a BTC cost of $80K. The development of an upward trend requires intense volatility to complete the shakeout and turnover. No destruction, no construction! In a bear market, only focus on BTC. Invest in batches, but keep some funds ready in case it drops to $80K. Remember, no one can perfectly time the bottom. Even after buying the dip, it might still drop further. We can only grasp the general direction. This analysis is for reference only. Adults must take responsibility for their own decisions. Investments carry risks—please invest with spare money and think independently!