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AiCoin
AiCoin|11月 25, 2025 06:26
[Economists Raise 2026 U.S. Economic Growth Forecast, Expect Slower Fed Rate Cuts] On November 25, a survey by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) showed that the median forecast for U.S. economic growth in 2026 is 2%, up from 1.8% in October and 1.3% in June. The inflation rate is expected to be 2.9% this year, slightly declining to 2.6% in 2026. Job growth is projected to remain weak, with an average monthly increase of 64,000 non-farm jobs in 2026, lower than the October forecast of 75,000. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.5% throughout the year. Economists predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and by another 50 basis points in 2026, bringing the policy rate closer to a neutral level.
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Timeline

12月 22, 11:34FOMC members are unwilling to support a fourth consecutive rate cut.
12月 21, 08:49Tom Lee's Outlook on Market Trends for 2026
12月 19, 22:43Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Interest rates should be lowered to address risks in the job market
12月 19, 14:25The default rate of U.S. companies has decreased, but the risk of re-default remains.
12月 18, 14:02U.S. CPI rises by 2.7%, lower than expected
12月 18, 13:35The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January 2026 has risen to 28.8%.
12月 18, 13:01Hassett stated that it is appropriate for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates now.
12月 17, 18:34The Federal Reserve begins purchasing government bonds and injecting liquidity
12月 16, 18:00Employment data proves the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates faster
12月 16, 15:53The U.S. economy exhibits a 'wave-particle duality' state.

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