The latest development of the US government shutdown, when combined with these pieces of information, is that: 1. The first choice is naturally for Democratic and Republican centrist senators to reach an agreement (see Figure 1 below). The Republican Party will make certain concessions on the government subsidy level after the expiration of the Affordable Care Act, which is the most concerning issue for the Democratic Party, in exchange for the support of the Democratic centrists, and return the government to normal. This is the best choice at the moment, but it is not the best choice for Trump. For him and the Republican MAGA, they admit that subsidies help low-income people, but say that the main benefit is "illegal immigrants and non workers". They are promoting "job requirements" to limit the expansion of Medicaid and give priority to "American priority" groups. 2. The second choice is Trump's "nuclear option" Last weekend, he began threatening to abolish the Senate's filibuster rule, and last night he spoke up saying, 'If we don't end the filibuster, the Democratic Party will win the midterm elections.' It seems that he is once again killing the filibuster rule (see Figure 2 below). 1) What are the rules for obstructing proceedings? This is a strategy that allows minority lawmakers to delay or block voting on bills, resolutions, or nominations by prolonging debates. Legislators can force the majority to seek a "closure" vote of 60 votes by simply threatening to use the filibuster, without actually speaking for a long time. The essence is to allow minorities to block a bill from entering the voting process if at least 41 lawmakers oppose it 2) Is it feasible for Trump to use the nuclear option to abolish filibuster? Filipuster is not a constitutional provision, but a product of the Senate Rule XXII. Abolishing it can be achieved through the 'nuclear option': a rule change motion proposed by the Senate Majority Leader can be passed with only 51 votes (or 50+Vice President's tie), instead of the 60 vote threshold. There have been precedents before: in 2013, the Democratic Party used the nuclear option to abolish the federal judge nomination for FilmBuster; In 2017, the Republican Party expanded to include Supreme Court justices. The legislative filmuster (used for bills) has not been abolished, but the procedure is similar, only requiring internal party unity. If Trump's pressure is successful, Senate leader John Thune can start immediately without the support of the Democratic Party. After abolishing the obstruction rule, it is not necessary for the Democratic Party to agree, as long as all Republican members of the Senate pass it (also based on the simple majority principle), the spending bill that has already been passed by the House of Representatives can be passed. 3) What are the concerns within the Republican Party? 3-5 moderate or veteran senators (such as Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski) oppose, fearing that the Democratic Party may abuse the simple majority to pass radical bills (such as universal healthcare and gun control) in the future. The McConnell faction sees FilmBuster more as a 'minority umbrella'. The core is that the Republican establishment is concerned that if this rule is abolished, the Democratic Party will use this measure to promote extreme agendas when regaining control of the Senate in the future. Trump made a speech last night and again moved to end the obstruction of the rules of procedure. Today, he convened a meeting with all Republican senators in the White House. It is estimated that the purpose is to talk about the nuclear option. If he cannot reach an agreement with the Democratic Party, he is estimated that he will win over and threaten the senators in the Republican Party who are worried about this, and strongly promote the nuclear option. This article is sponsored by the meme trading tool http://(xxyy. io) | Fast trading, versatile features, and can be used to monitor on chain wallets @useXXYYio