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ๆ˜Ÿ็ƒๆ—ฅๆŠฅ
ๆ˜Ÿ็ƒๆ—ฅๆŠฅ|10ๆœˆ 29, 2025 12:23
[ADP Employment Data May Impact Fed's Confidence in December Rate Cut] Market analyst Giuseppe pointed out that the four-week employment data released by the U.S. Automatic Data Processing (ADP) company as of October 11, 2025, shows an average weekly increase of 14,250 jobs, totaling approximately 57,000 jobs, far exceeding the Dallas Fed's estimated monthly breakeven point of 30,000 jobs. The strong performance of the ADP data may make Federal Reserve Chair Powell more cautious when hinting at a December rate cut, potentially being seen as a hawkish surprise and having a significant impact on the market. Additionally, Federal Reserve Governor Waller has previously expressed support for rate cuts but recently emphasized the need for caution.
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Timeline

11ๆœˆ 28, 12:19Interest rate cut reversal, capital inflow
11ๆœˆ 28, 11:01Crypto institutions did not create momentum to pump in Q4.
11ๆœˆ 28, 10:392026 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut Plan and Economic Recession Risk
11ๆœˆ 28, 09:55The probability of a rate cut remains steady at 85%.
11ๆœˆ 28, 09:50The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December has risen to 87%.
11ๆœˆ 28, 09:40About to experience a market honeymoon period, divided into two phases
11ๆœˆ 28, 08:51December Major Events Calendar
11ๆœˆ 28, 07:48Bitcoin is at a critical turning point
11ๆœˆ 28, 04:49CME Group suspends trading, impacting cryptocurrency futures
11ๆœˆ 28, 04:11The decline of DXY is an important signal for the market.

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