蓝狐
蓝狐|Jul 21, 2025 00:06
Some friends are worried that ETH has increased, gas costs are high, and user transaction fees cannot be controlled. If there is no L2 like in the previous cycle, there is indeed pressure. However, this cycle has already seen the expansion of the L1+L2 architecture (such as improving gas limits, optimizing data availability, applying zk technology, etc.). L2 can carry larger transaction volumes, and even if ETH rises to $10000, based on the current transaction congestion situation, taking the average, L2 such as base and zksync can still achieve transaction fees below $1, about a few cents to tens of cents. Moreover, the expansion of L1/L2 combination is still ongoing. ETH has risen, and it is unlikely that gas costs will increase to the same level as the previous cycle (several hundred dollars). Even if stablecoin payments can be supported in the future, Danksharding, Blob data availability expansion, ZK proof compression, single slot finality, stateless clients, etc. will gradually push TPS to tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of levels. Finally, based on the current trading volume data, assuming the cost situation of L1, even if ETH reaches $100 million, according to the current data, the average cost of simple transfer is less than $1; The average transaction fee on DEX is around 2-3 US dollars. When ETH reaches $10000, the cost of simple transfers will only exceed $10 during peak congestion periods, ERC20 transfers will exceed $30, and DEX exchange trading will only exceed $70. As long as users do not operate during peak hours, the cost of L1 has decreased significantly compared to the previous cycle. In addition, L2 can also absorb the overflow of L1 trading volume, so that the Ethereum ecosystem is unlikely to experience the same extreme high fees (hundreds of dollars) as in the previous cycle due to the rise in ETH prices.
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