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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|Jul 14, 2025 22:00
Government bond liquidity has never been worse: The Bloomberg Government Bond Liquidity Index hit a record 6.5 points on Monday. A higher reading in this index means LESS liquidity for global bond markets. The index has DOUBLED over the last several months, as government spending surged in the US and Japan. This means liquidity is now worse than during the 2008 Financial Crisis. As a result, long-term government bonds are selling off, with Japan’s 30Y bond yield hitting 3.15%, the second-highest level since its debut in 1999. At the same time, the 30Y Treasury yield is approaching 5.00% for the first time since May. Keep watching bonds.
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