
南帝~(一灯大师)|Jul 03, 2025 07:33
Non farm data
BTC returns to the 110000 range
Is it the final madness or is it really about breaking through?
The market value of the entire network has returned to 3.4 trillion, with Bitcoin accounting for 63.8%, Ethereum accounting for 9.32%, and USDT market value soaring to 157.9 billion. However, the USDT market price has continued to decline due to the influence of the US dollar.
Tonight's non farm payroll data is likely to be positive, as the market has only started to rebound early and currently lacks the momentum to break through directly. It's just clearing the short positions in the contract market. The short positions in the 109300 range that were reminded last night have all been eaten up. Currently, the price in the upper chip accumulation area is between 110300-110600, where you can place short orders and wait for insertion, while the long chips below 106500 have accumulated 2.6 billion.
Pay attention to whether tonight's news will lead to an upward push or a direct pullback. The pullback should focus on the 106500-105500 range. Although this data is often misleading and the market can be frustrating, there is currently no sustained funding for buying in the market. It is indeed difficult to truly break through, and there is a high possibility of malicious order scanning.
ETH Ethereum has currently broken through $2500 and returned to the $2600 range. Currently, the top 2650 is under strong pressure, with a backlog of 780 million short clearing data that can be used to place short orders and wait for insertion. However, the bottom has more long clearing data, with nearly 2.4 billion clearing data at the 2400 position, which is three times more than the short position. Therefore, the high altitude 2650 has a good cost performance ratio and is worth a try. After all, ETH often cheats on stocks. Today, the market is calling for E guards to return home, and now it is calling for E guards to return. It is true that a big bullish candlestick is coming to meet thousands of horses and leeks.
The technical form focuses on the MACD2/3-day technical form, which may have a potential for oil leakage. There is a signal of a peak in the past form when reviewing the past form. If the news falls today and tomorrow and the price cannot break through 11, it means that the good news may collapse at any time. Those who chase long must be careful and cautious, and be sure to wear a safety belt for themselves. BTC, which is basically trapped in the range of 107500-108500 when chasing short, is relatively easy to resist temporarily.
The only concern is that ETH short positions are being hedged. There are 2500-2530 short positions being hedged, so we can only grit our teeth and see if we can withstand tonight's non farm payroll and tomorrow's Bitcoin proposal news landing. As long as the closing price of ETH does not exceed 2650, it will be very smooth down. We still need to remind everyone that whether chasing long or short, we must bring a stop loss. Generally, a $1500 stop loss is enough for the Big Dipper, while a $30-40 stop loss is usually given for Ethereum. If we can't hold on to the order one day, we can only return to zero.
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