*Walter Bloomberg|Jun 30, 2025 11:24
S&P 500 RALLY TO CONTINUE ON EXPECTED FED CUTS: MORGAN STANLEY
Wilson notes that the rally since April has been fundamentally driven, and while a short-term pause is possible, he remains bullish over the next 6–12 months as earnings improve and markets anticipate rate cuts.
Morgan Stanley sees three main drivers:
1️⃣ Better Earnings: Earnings revisions have improved from -25% in April to -5%, justifying further gains.
2️⃣ Expected Rate Cuts: Markets are pricing in Fed easing, with Morgan Stanley forecasting seven cuts in 2026.
3️⃣ Reduced Risks: Falling oil prices and fewer policy/geopolitical risks are lowering recession concerns.
This environment supports a broader market rally, starting with large-cap quality stocks and expanding further, with rate risks contained for now, according to Wilson.
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