TraderS | 缺德道人
TraderS | 缺德道人|Jun 22, 2025 00:28
I have written quite a few posts about Iran recently, but the timeline is a bit messy. Since the United States has already directly attacked Iran's nuclear facilities, it is still necessary to summarize them. 1. The benefits of the outcome: gaining geopolitical benefits and consolidating one's own rights. The internal interests of the United States are not unified, and the MAGA faction does not like Jews and does not want to end up, but everyone knows that Ivanka Trump's husband is Jewish. Although the two broke up after the last term, after taking office in the second term, Kawako still gave his father-in-law, the French ambassador, such a good job, which caused disappointment and dissatisfaction among supporters. Iran is launching missiles every day, which makes it impossible for Israel to continue normal production and life. If this continues, it will inevitably lead to the collapse of people's livelihoods, so it has to be rescued. 3. Using the Middle East as a tipping point to blow up the US stock market and force Powell to cut interest rates, Powell is still relatively dignified to step down 4. The downside of the outcome is that China and Russia have a 12% motive to drag the United States to the Middle East. Russia's pressure in Ukraine can be reduced. During the last Aksa flood operation, the United States sent the arms aid originally intended for Ukraine to Israel, and its production capacity cannot supply both countries at the same time. There was a news report in China two days ago stating that 46 mainland military aircraft flew over the Taiwan Strait within 24 hours. North Korea has launched over 10 rocket launchers into the western waters of the Korean Peninsula. In the direction of East Asia, practical actions can be taken to surround Wei and rescue Zhao, or a bluff can be used to sound east and west. 5. So the Americans are not stupid. They just use non-contact bombing, and even withdraw American troops from bases around Iran in advance to prevent Iran from retaliating. It is unknown whether they can let them sink into the mire. However, Israel cannot escape, Iran only needs to press down on Israel with a hammer, and the United States cannot do without getting involved.
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