
BITWU.ETH 🔆|Jun 07, 2025 02:44
🧵 Most of the gold market has also started to allocate BTC. The next phase of major asset migration is the resonance cycle of "central bank gold+private BTC"——
One of the biggest highlights of the Incrementum report is that it is a typical gold institution that actively includes BTC in its "new 60/40 portfolio" and clearly sees its long-term value as bullish.
I think the underlying logic here is that BTC is a technological upgrade of the golden logic, and Bitcoin is a sharp sword against cross-border credit assets and capital controls in the digital age, which will only be increasingly valued by people!
There are several profound implications behind this:
one ️⃣ Gold institutions have also begun to recognize BTC's "digital gold" status:
Traditionally, the Golden Party has held a reserved and even hostile attitude towards Bitcoin, believing that BTC lacks physical attributes and does not have a millennium long history of recognition.
But this report directly includes BTC in the portfolio and clearly has high expectations for BTC's future market value (50% gold market value benchmark, target price of $900000).
This indicates that the "avant-garde" among a group of gold bulls no longer see BTC as a competitor, but as an "extended asset" of the gold logic.
→ Gold: anti dollar credit system, anti inflation asset → BTC: global anti inflation asset in the digital age.
two ️⃣ The core logic of the new 60/40 combination:
The traditional 60/40 ratio (60% stocks, 40% bonds) is clearly ineffective in a high inflation and negative interest rate environment. The logic behind the new combination is:
Stocks: still the main growth engine (but with a 45% decrease in proportion);
Bonds: Retain a portion (15%), but have retired from their core position;
Gold (safe haven+performance oriented)+commodity+BTC → major asset rotation+inflation hedging core allocation;
Gold (safe haven) 15% → crisis resistance;
Performance oriented gold 10% → seeking excess returns;
10% of bulk commodities → periodic benefits for physical assets;
BTC 5% → High resilience digital asset hedging credit risk+long-term appreciation.
👉 Essentially, it is an active abandonment of bond dominance and an increase in the weight of "physical+digital physical" in response to the global currency system restructuring and asset de dollarization trend.
three ️⃣ The complementary logic of gold and BTC:
Gold: mainly allocated on a large scale by central banks, sovereign funds, and traditional institutions, suitable for reserve based risk resistance.
BTC: More flexible at the global capital market level, capable of cross-border circulation, resistant to censorship and capital controls, naturally becoming a supplement to the 'next generation of gold'.
This report has clearly stated that BTC is an extension of the golden logic in new technological scenarios - not a replacement, but a completion capability.
four ️⃣ What does BTC to 50% of gold market value mean?
The current market value of gold is about 16-17 trillion US dollars → BTC is currently 1.3-1.5 trillion US dollars → Target is 8-8.5 trillion US dollars:
The corresponding BTC price is around 900000 yuan.
Logically speaking, it is not an exaggeration. If BTC is adopted by more global central banks and sovereign funds as a "sovereign reserve asset" and continues to have high free capital liquidity, there is long-term potential.
Thank you @ tongtongbee for sharing. The report content has once again strengthened the confidence of our holders;
In summary, the proactive "embrace" of BTC by gold long institutions is a very typical signal of the changing global asset allocation logic: de dollarization - government credit decline - gold, commodities, BTC → new generation of anti inflation+anti credit risk asset groups;
They do not believe that BTC is a 'currency', but rather that BTC is the 'new gold of the era of free global capital migration'.
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