
百萬Eric | Day Trader|Jun 04, 2025 09:32
How to determine if Bitcoin has reached its limit?
Many people want to find the top of Bitcoin, but there is actually a relatively simple way to do it ..
For example, in the December 2024 market, after reaching 108364, the price dropped directly by 20%, which is a typical peak. But it's difficult to draw a conclusion based solely on one surge. You have to wait for it to 'come back and try again', which means that after a month, the price will return to the previous high area (potential double top) - if the indicator gives overbought or top divergence at this time, it is a foolproof top signal.
Now, the situation is different. Although Bitcoin has returned to its previous highs and indicators have shown overbought and top divergence, it has not undergone a second high point test here. So, this is more like a combination of high pressure and overbought, with risks that need to be managed, but far from reaching the level of 'the top is already set'.
Ultimately, the top and bottom have never relied on prediction, but on rules and risk management. Instead of studying how to copy the top and escape the bottom, it's better to focus on "processes and risks".
As long as you have rules, bottom lines, and handle risks well, you can leave and stay when you need to, and the ultimate effect will naturally be close to "grasping the top and bottom", without getting stuck in endless speculation.
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