
加密前线(糖哥)|Jun 02, 2025 04:38
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC 06/02
From the weekly trend, the limited adjustment of prices after exceeding the bullish trend is almost a foregone conclusion. Whether it is a time adjustment or a spatial adjustment, there is always one that suits her. In my personal opinion, the probability of a pullback in the weekly chart is relatively high, and due to the slow response of the weekly chart, it is expected to be a volatile downward trend mixed with several sideways movements or a wide range of fluctuations on the daily chart. The details also depend on the internal level.
From the 12H to the daily trend, although the current price has not fallen below the upward daily MA30, there is also a clear structural suppression above, which determines that the range of price surges at this level within the current structure is limited. At the same time, as mentioned at the beginning, the current trend is not a large-scale bearish trend, but a limited adjustment after the bull trend has surged.
That is to say, there is not enough short-term upward space, but the long-term support below is still there. We can use the time adjustment conditions of each price or the spatial conditions after refreshing the low point to participate in short-term rebound by relying on the MA90/180/250 moving averages of 12H.
From the perspective of the 4H trend, the price is in a mixed long and short trend. After the early morning price rebound at the level of MA30 and the downward trend, it marks the basic repair of the negative divergence that occurred after the 31st. The sideways trend in this segment is coming to an end, and a new direction can be chosen. Considering that the position of 4HMA180 has been retraced multiple times, there is no need to do it again in the future. Consider the reverse trend after leaving the segment more (see details in the picture).
From the 1H trend, the video analysis from the day before yesterday suggested that after a sharp drop, it is necessary to take a sideways consolidation and wait for the moving average to converge and bond before choosing a direction. From the current trend, it can be seen that there will be a rough result in two days. However, there is a high probability that the adjustment on the bearish side will continue in the original direction. Before completely breaking through the upper suppression, there is no need to consider the upward position, only do a low long from 4H to MA205.
As for the 15 minute and 30 minute periods, the overall trend is chaotic, and it will take some time to complete the adjustment. For those who are currently in the wave band, they can refer to the lifeline strategy and operate on their own. For those who cannot see the fluctuation range, they don't need to do it. Just wait patiently for the 4H and above levels to see the long and short points.
Short term support range 102310~101408 (keep an eye on the market, fast in and out), with the second support range referring to 98210~95637 (1:2). Form suppression 106777~108369 (After arriving in this area, you can use the 1-hour and 30 minute lifeline tactics)
We won't give it to radical players anymore, and the support at all levels is also suppressing the intertwining of canine teeth, making it difficult to predict uniformly. 4H is also facing a change in direction, so we'll wait until the direction is clear before making a decision. If you have to play a game, strictly limit the stop loss to 4HMA180 and operate on your own. BTC
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