🚨 RECESSION RISK DROPS—BUT DIMON WARNS: “DON’T GET COMFORTABLE” Kalshi now sees just a 38% chance of a U.S. recession this year, a sharp drop that suggests rising investor confidence. But JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has a stark warning: “Severe stagflation is still on the table.” At JPM’s investor day, Dimon cautioned that a toxic mix of inflation and recession could still hit the U.S. economy hard—bringing deep credit losses and sharper revenue declines than many expect. He pointed to 15 years of overly generous lending and rising geopolitical risks as serious threats. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecssnber/recession