
Phyrex|May 19, 2025 17:29
Actually, this topic is quite interesting. Just a few days ago, my neighbor started selling BTC in batches from $89000, and then sold between $97000 and $104000. Of course, he didn't sell Bitcoin, but a double long BTC ETF. This move has caused too much wear and tear. From a god's perspective, he sold early and made a lot less money.
But for the constant game of tariffs at that time, judging from the rise of $74000, this price was not low at all. After all, predicting prices is God's business, and we can only choose the most suitable time for ourselves.
There should be a big difference between trading and investing. Most of my friends around me are investors and never pursue absolute buying at the top or buying at the bottom. Instead, they consider whether it is the safest time and whether there can be the most certain return. If we look at it this way, with a cost of less than $30000 this round, it is normal to ship 50% now, locking in an average profit of more than three times.
Returning to myself, the reason why I resist doing BTC trading in the trading band is mainly because I am afraid that getting used to the trading band will actually reduce my holdings of Bitcoin. In my personal concept, trading in the trading band has transformed from investing to trading. I may not be an excellent trader, but investing has a strong margin of error. I can wait slowly, and my cost is low enough.
But if I do trading, I am likely to fall into anxiety about whether it will reduce my BTC. This anxiety will make me pay more attention to short-term price changes and have to fall into the trap of whether to buy or sell every time the price changes. Therefore, even when I am preparing to buy a few bitcoins for short-term trading, I still haven't done short-term spot trading. It may really be when there is a systemic risk expectation that I will force myself to sell spot.
This is not for short-term trading, but for having more chips to buy at the bottom during the "last drop". Of course, I am not sure if the last drop will occur, as it is the economic recession of this cycle.
In fact, speaking of people, if one really has trading talent and can be a child of versions, they can also make money by doing contracts. However, if one is just an ordinary person, even trading BTC in the spot market may result in losses. Therefore, I almost gave up short-term trading in the spot market because I don't want to lose a little bit of my accumulated BTC.
PS: Compared to that, I believe more that through Bitcoin spot ETFs, BTC can experience a bull market comparable to gold that lasts for ten years, even if it's just a slow bull market, it's enough. So every time there is a decline, as long as it is not a systemic risk, I just need to buy.
This tweet is sponsored by @ ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With Apex
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