*Walter Bloomberg|May 19, 2025 09:07
NFLX: JPMORGAN DOWNGRADES NETFLIX TO NEUTRAL FROM OVERWEIGHT - PT 1,220 (FROM 1,150)
We remain bullish on Netflix’s long-term leadership in streaming and its potential to become global TV. However, in the near term, after strong stock gains, the risk/reward looks more balanced. Three key points:
🔸 The stock is at an all-time high, trading at 39x 2026E EPS and 44x 2026E FCF, likely pricing in 2025 upside.
🔸 NFLX has been a defensive play, but easing macro/tariff concerns could lead investors to rotate into other beaten-down tech names.
🔸 Summer is a seasonally slower period for Netflix, and after last week’s Upfront, the near-term catalyst path looks quieter, despite strong Q3 content.
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