
Phyrex|May 10, 2025 20:27
I should have talked about it before. Let's talk about it again. If we still follow the four-year halving cycle, the effect may become smaller and smaller. After all, halving does not have a significant impact on BTC prices, but in fact, halving increases the difficulty of mining, forcing prices to either adapt to mining or face the danger of shutdown.
But if we look at it from a different perspective, every time Bitcoin is halved, there will always be a high point within six months to a year, and this time period corresponds exactly to the US election. From a historical perspective, every US election has been a good news for the risk market, even this time is no exception.
So can we say that the halving may be stimulated by the US election, which will drive the FOMO sentiment in the market and thus drive up the price of Bitcoin? If we look at it from this perspective, I think the four-year cycle is still very effective. Interested friends can mark it themselves.
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