
Mike McGlone|Apr 13, 2025 12:02
Great Reset Akin to 1929 US and 1989 Japan?
On a one year basis to April 13, it's a meh market - #gold and #Bitcoin are up almost 40%, roughly 5% for the S&P 500, T-bonds are flat and #crudeoil is down almost 30%? What's all the fuss?
Outlook:
- The mantra of everyone wanting free trade as long as they run surpluses with the US since WWII is over
- Fiscal and monetary stimulus, offshoring and corporate profits have reached an apex as evidenced by sticky inflation and the most expensive US #stockmarket vs. GDP, and rest of the world in about a century
- #Commodities are in a #deflation from the #inflation cycle with added headwinds from mean reverting beta
- There was one #cryptocurrency in 2009, now #Bitcoin has millions of dependents and trades about 3x the volatility of the S&P 500 and gold. If beta keeps reverting lower, so goes highly speculative cryptos
- Gold has only three #preciousmetals dependents
Full report on the Bloomberg here: https://blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories/sue9ebt1um0w {BI COMD}
#macroeconomics @BBGIntelligence
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