After shaking for a day and still around 83000, the US stock market closed well this morning. BTC is still oscillating in the range of 81500-85000 After looking at BTC's open contracts in recent days, there has also been an increase, indicating that the long short game has started again, although only a slight increase, as shown in the chart. The main reason is that almost the whole world is now waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in the early morning of March 20th. Just a few points, such as the number of interest rate cuts this year, whether there is a recession, and the situation of balance sheet reduction. Let's talk directly about my personal bullish and bearish thoughts Although I hope for a slight rebound on 3.20, which is macro level, based on BTC's on chain data and the previous downward fluctuations, I personally think that the price may also need to rebound. However, even so, the price will only rebound. But I still won't do too much. There are several situations, right Short term long, which may be an hourly line, such as going long when approaching around 82000, and then taking profit when it rises above 83000. This is too time-consuming, I have to keep an eye on it all the time. If you go long in the medium to long term, that is to say, betting on 3.20 will release positive optimism, and the price will directly break through and stabilize at 85000, 87000, or even higher starting at 9. But there will definitely be significant fluctuations during the speech on the early morning of March 20th, and I don't know what Old Bao will say. What if there are hawks, what if there are not so dovish ones. So it's still not easy to handle Conversely, the logic of emptiness is similar. For reference by friends. Position management has been implemented. Thank you