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Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)
Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)|3月 11, 2025 00:54
“Trump is crashing the market to refinance the US debt! It’s 4D chess!” 1) That’s not how that works. 2) The US average interest rate is only 3.32% right now because so much of the US debt structure was issued on long dated instruments with low coupon when rates were nearly 0. 3) Only 3T of the 35T hits maturity in 2025. 4) If you forced the Fed to cut from 4.50% -> 3.32% to finance 3T at a lower rate, you’d save 35B/year in interest, out of 1.6T in annual interest. 5) It would also have cost the US economy at least 2.5T~ So no - it is not some genius 4D plan by your god emperor. Saving 35B by blowing up *Trillions* will not fix anything for the US. He’s just really bad at this stuff.
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Timeline

4月 09, 21:46【If the tariff suspension continues, it is expected that the impact of inflation will weaken】
4月 09, 18:59【The relationship between Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and expectations of economic recession】
4月 09, 18:57【The relationship between the expectation of Fed interest rate cuts and economic recession】
4月 09, 18:35【Federal Reserve officials warn of longer lasting inflation risks from tariffs】
4月 09, 18:16【Federal Reserve confirms monetary policy stance, tariffs affect inflation】
4月 09, 18:09【The US economy faces risks of high inflation and low growth】
4月 09, 18:04【The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates three times starting in June】
4月 09, 17:42【After Trump suspends tariffs, traders cut interest rate bets】
4月 09, 17:38【The possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in May is extremely slim】
4月 09, 17:00【Bitcoin transforms into a functional currency tool】

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