1. Today's Core News

1. Macro Federal Reserve
The Jackson Hole meeting released hawkish statements, inflation has not yet met targets, and the probability of a rate hike in September has significantly increased, putting pressure on risk assets, leading to liquidation of long positions in the market, with BTC and ETH both seeing a pullback. US Treasury yields are rising, which is temporarily suppressing the overall valuation of the crypto market.

2. ETF Institutional Funds
The BTC spot ETF ended a continuous nine-day net inflow, turning to a small net outflow today; the ETH spot ETF continues to maintain a continuous net inflow, indicating strong institutional willingness to allocate Ethereum, with a phenomenon of fund rotation occurring.

3. Regulatory Dynamics
The US CLARITY Act has been postponed for consideration until September, with a low probability of short-term implementation; the SEC's proposal for a crypto asset fundraising exemption continues to progress, and overall regulatory uncertainty remains, with no significant positive developments materializing.

4. On-chain Hotspots
The Solana community passed a supply reduction proposal, with on-chain fundamentals leaning positive, but the market did not react immediately; overall market risk aversion sentiment is increasing, with most altcoins following the broader market weakening.

2. Market Overview

The total market capitalization is 2.72 trillion, experiencing an overall decline in 24 hours. BTC dominates the market, which is in a phase of adjustment and repair, with short-term fluctuations skewed to the downside. The battle between bulls and bears is intense, with many leverage liquidations, making it unsuitable for heavy positions.

3. Reference Points for Each Cryptocurrency on the Day (USDT, for Technical Teaching Reference Only)

BTC (Bitcoin)

• Current Reference Price: $77,600‑$77,900

• Support: First support at $76,800; strong support at $75,200

• Resistance: First resistance at $79,400; strong resistance at $81,000

• Strategy:

1. If it falls and stabilizes in the $76,800‑$77,000 range, consider taking a light long position with a stop loss below $75,800, targeting $79,200‑$80,800

2. If it rebounds and does not break $79,400, consider a short position with a stop loss above $81,300, targeting $77,000‑$76,800

3. If it directly breaks below $76,800 and cannot recover, do not catch the falling knife; wait to observe around $75,200.

ETH (Ethereum)

• Current Reference Price: $2,430‑$2,445

• Support: First support at $2,400; strong support at $2,360

• Resistance: First resistance at $2,485; strong resistance at $2,540

• Strategy:

1. If it pulls back and stabilizes in the $2,400‑$2,410 range, consider taking a light long position with a stop loss below $2,350, targeting $2,480‑$2,530

2. If the rebound is capped at $2,485 and does not break, consider a short position with a stop loss above $2,550, targeting $2,410‑$2,400

3. If it effectively breaks below $2,400, observe mainly, avoiding catching the falling knife.

SOL

• Current Reference Price: $103‑$104

• Support: First support at $100.5; strong support at $97.2

• Resistance: First resistance at $107.3; strong resistance at $111

• Strategy:

1. If it falls and stabilizes in the $100.5‑$101 range, consider taking a light long position with a stop loss below $96.5, targeting $107, and if it breaks, look for $110‑$111

2. If the rebound cannot stabilize at $107, do not chase high, consider a short position with a stop loss above $112, targeting a drop towards $102‑$100
3. If it breaks below $100 and cannot recover, avoid long positions, waiting for a deeper pullback.

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