Today's Core News in the Cryptocurrency Circle

1. Geopolitics and Regulation
The U.S. Treasury Department announced a new round of sanctions against Iran, focusing on digital assets, technology, shipping, and more. Nearly $1 billion in Iranian-related crypto assets has been seized; Japan plans to relax restrictions on large payments in stablecoins, allowing single transactions to exceed 1 million yen; the probability of the crypto regulation CLARITY Act passing in Congress is currently only 15%, and regulatory uncertainty remains.

2. Institutional Capital
Bitcoin's spot ETF saw a net inflow of $2.6 billion in one week, a new high since October 2025; Bitcoin spot demand has turned positive for the first time in six months, with a net increase of 36,900 BTC in one week; the crypto institution Strategy reports a floating profit of $2.6 billion, significantly easing sell pressure.

3. Macroeconomics and Sentiment
The Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting is being held this week, with the market waiting for signals from the Federal Reserve. If dovish rate cut expectations are released, it may further boost crypto asset prices; the crypto fear and greed index has risen to the 74-81 range, indicating a “greed/extreme greed” state, with short-term sentiment being overheated and a risk of correction.


Mainstream Currency Day Trading Strategies and Entry Points

1. BTC (Bitcoin)
Technical Analysis: The weekly chart has re-established positions above the 50-week EMA (for the first time since 2025), with a medium-term trend leaning bullish; however, the daily RSI has risen to 84, indicating a serious overbought condition, with the $80,000 level facing pressure for the second time, suggesting there may be a need for short-term consolidation.

Key Levels
• Upper Resistance: $80,000 (psychological level/short-term strong resistance), $82,000
• Lower Support: $76,000-$77,000 (first support), $73,000-$74,000 (strong support)

Day Trading Strategy
• Long Position Strategy: Enter after price stabilizes in the $76,500-$77,500 range, with stop-loss set below $75,500; first target is $80,000, and if broken, watch for $82,000
• Short Position Strategy: If the price faces pressure around $80,000 and shows signs of stagnation, a light short position can be initiated, with stop-loss above $80,800 and target near $77,000

• Note: The daily chart shows serious overbought conditions; avoid blind chasing highs and prioritize positions on dips or confirmations of breakouts.

2. ETH (Ethereum)
Technical Analysis: In the short term, it is moving upward along the 5-day moving average, with a complete bullish structure; $2,500 is a key battleground for bulls and bears; in the medium term, it has stabilized above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, leaning bullish. Watch for a potential volume breakout above $2,500 to open up upward space.

Key Levels
• Upper Resistance: $2,535 (first resistance), $2,588
• Lower Support: $2,427 (first support), $2,370-$2,400 (strong support)

Day Trading Strategy

• Aggressive Long Position: Enter after a stop-loss signal appears in the $2,470-$2,480 range, with stop-loss set below $2,460; first take profit at $2,515, second take profit at $2,530-$2,535
• Conservative Long Position: Wait for price to stabilize after pulling back to the $2,400-$2,430 support zone before entering, with stop-loss below $2,360, target $2,530-$2,588

• If volume breaks above $2,535 and holds, consider following the trend with a long position, targeting $2,588.

3. SOL (Solana)
Technical Analysis: Leading the mainstream currencies in the last 24 hours, breaking through the $100 mark, with strong bullish momentum in the short term; however, the daily RSI has risen to 87, indicating an overbought condition, and this round of rebounds is dominated by short squeezes, with insufficient spot buying, thus posing high correction risks.

Key Levels
• Upper Resistance: $102.8 (first resistance), $106.6
• Lower Support: $95-$96 (first support), $91-$92 (strong support)

Day Trading Strategy
• Long Position Strategy: Enter lightly after price stabilizes back in the $95-$96 range, with stop-loss set below $93; first target is $102.8, and if broken, watch for $106.6

• Not recommended to chase highs: Current prices are in the overbought area, and the risk-reward ratio for chasing high gains is extremely low; if the price breaks below the $95 support and cannot recover quickly, there is a short-term correction risk; consider observing temporarily and wait for a pullback to support levels for positioning.

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