Good evening everyone, I am the new Yaya. As mentioned yesterday, the phase of accumulation has ended. Typically, major market movements happen on Fridays, and the volatility of Bitcoin can be significant. Today, unexpectedly, the market is even hotter than yesterday.

Last night, those who went long experienced some happiness, and today I shorted and took a little profit. Luckily, I exited decisively; otherwise, I would have incurred losses.

Now, regarding the future market, the daily trend shows no signs of ending, so many people have anchored their expectations at the previous high around 83000, which is incorrect. The process lacks a phase of consolidation to digest the divergences, and the upward momentum is insufficient.

There are essentially two possible scenarios for the future market. The first possibility is to create a one-hour consolidation center before making an upward push to test the previous daily highs.

The second possibility is to form a four-hour center, with major range oscillations and consolidations lasting a month. In fact, the second scenario includes the first scenario, indicating that the main force can manipulate the market, enticing buying at high levels, faking a breakout, and then exiting to leave retail investors holding the bag.

The movements of Ethereum are quite similar to those in May 2025. Back then, Ethereum consolidated around 1800 for a long time before starting a major upward wave, and reached around 2400 within a day, followed by a month of major range oscillation. During that time, Bitcoin and Ethereum moved independently, but both were in major range consolidations. What has happened before will happen again, and the future market will likely follow this pattern.

The overlapping parts of the two possibilities suggest an upward test, and since the four-hour momentum has not ended, current short positions should be cautious. If momentum starts to weaken, it's merely a warning signal, not an entry signal. Most high-leverage positions in the market have basically been cleared out, and larger fluctuations are normal, which will attract more people into the market, laying the groundwork for a true bull market return. A 30% increase is just a decent volatility for outsiders, but for those of us within the circle, it represents a thirtyfold increase in position size. Many people still approach the cryptocurrency market with a stock trading logic rather than a futures trading logic; if it were the latter, they would not have missed this upward movement.

The accumulation phase has ended, and the new Yaya doesn’t have to be as petty as before, providing points so close. If it weren’t for the few market-making points that came out yesterday, it would seem like I only know how to play the short term.

For Bitcoin, focus on the levels 79500, 80900, 82300 above
and 75400, 74000, 72800 below.
For Ethereum, focus on the levels 2440, 2545, 2650 above
and 2320, 2240, 2150 below.

If holding cash, it's recommended to enter for Bitcoin around 76000 and increase at 75200, while for Ethereum, go long at 2330 with a stop at 2300.
Alternatively, go short at 78800 and add at 79500.
For Ethereum, short at 2440 with a stop at 2470.

First, observe the one-hour level oscillations; the expected consolidation range over the weekend will be the suggested entry and accumulation points.

Stay synchronized: Public account, New Yaya talks about the intricacies.

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