In the evening, according to Israeli media reports, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu ordered a ceasefire in Lebanon. The market reacted immediately, with Bitcoin and Ethereum rising in response, but the uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire is extremely high. The Israeli officials also stated that "the Israeli army will not immediately withdraw from southern Lebanon at this stage." Previous ceasefire agreements have been violated multiple times—after a temporary ceasefire that began in April, both sides continued to clash; on June 17, Israel was accused of "repeatedly violating the ceasefire agreement." Whether this ceasefire can truly be implemented remains uncertain.

As for the Bitcoin short positions mentioned yesterday around 63900–64500, and the Ethereum short positions around 1738–1755, they have all been executed today. I believe that before the Federal Reserve clearly releases dovish signals, any rebound should be seen as a technical recovery rather than a trend reversal (the probability of rate hikes this year is still quite high, and significant negative impacts are still on the way), so it is better to hold patiently and watch the situation! Now let's talk about

If you did not enter the market according to yesterday's article, here are today's operational thoughts (more conservative entry points)

Currently, according to the "Jiang Feng Trend Real-Time Tracking Strategy" indicator, the first target for the Bitcoin short positions near 71400, which was set at 60300, has been reached. The remaining second target at 54000 and third target at 47700 are yet to be tested. From the market perspective, the large-scale downward trend has not changed, and the moving averages are clearly in a bearish arrangement, so I don’t think there is any need to panic about the entered short positions!

The specific stable strategy is as follows: (Those who have already entered according to yesterday's strategy can continue to hold; the evening strategy may not necessarily allow for new entries)

Bitcoin: Focus on the resistance above around 65400–65900–66300, with targets on the support below: 63900–63200–62200–60400 and 59800–59300–58400

Ethereum: Focus on the resistance above around 1780–1820–1905, with targets on the support below 1680–1640–1580–1510 and around 1444

Please note that the above entry points may not necessarily provide opportunities to enter; everyone should maintain the positions from yesterday’s article thoughts; today’s midnight strategy is just to prevent sudden situations! All the above points: there is a spread of ±100 points for Bitcoin and ±5 points for Ethereum, and it is crucial to participate lightly in recent strategies!

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