On the 14th, the United States and Iran announced that they have reached a peace agreement, with both sides agreeing to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with the formal signing ceremony to be held on Friday in Switzerland. The Strait of Hormuz is a vital passage for global crude oil transport; its reopening is expected to lead to a drop in oil prices and a simultaneous downward adjustment in market inflation expectations.

　　Bitcoin, as an inflation haven for risk assets, surged rapidly following the drop in oil prices. The on-chain trading volume of Bitcoin increased by 8% within 24 hours, with Bitcoin quoted at 66,000 USD as of the morning of the 15th, marking a strong rebound of nearly 10% from the low of 59,353 USD on June 6. Ethereum reached a high of 1,732 USD, also recovering from a low of 1,522 USD, with a 24-hour increase of 1.34%. The panic selling from last week is gradually being digested, but whether the bulls can solidify their footing will depend on the Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision and the new Fed chair's comments on Wednesday this week.

　　Bitcoin four-hour chart

　　Looking at the four-hour chart, Bitcoin started to rebound after dropping to around 59,087. The price has now climbed to near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level of 64,683, slightly above it. Short-term bulls have a slight advantage, but there is still significant pressure above, so caution is advised.

　　First, looking at the MACD, both lines are currently running above the zero axis, with the DIFF and DEA maintaining a golden cross; although the red energy bars are slightly shorter, no dead cross signal has formed, indicating that the bullish momentum is still being released. In the short term, there is still a demand for the market to push upwards, so there is no need to panic.

　　Next, looking at KDJ, the three lines are moving quite quickly, with the J value nearing 90, clearly entering an overbought area. This means that the short-term rise has been too rapid and a technical pullback may occur at any time; however, as long as the K line and D line do not form a dead cross, the pullback space is expected to be limited and not too deep.

　　Regarding BOLL, the Bollinger Bands are starting to open up towards both sides, with the price following the upper band. The middle band has changed from pressure to support. Currently, the middle band support is around 64,000; as long as this level is not broken, the bullish structure remains intact. However, it is worth noting that if the price continues to stick closely to the upper band, there is a risk of a short-term pullback after reaching a high to wash out positions.

　　Speaking of Fibonacci retracement, this drop had a high of 82,799 and a low of 59,087. Key resistance levels are as follows: the 23.6% level of 64,683 has already been broken, the 38.2% level at 68,145, the 50% level at 70,943, and the 61.8% level at 73,741. The current price stabilizing at the 23.6% retracement level indicates that the market has entered the second stage of the rebound. If it can firmly remain above 65,000, the market will have the opportunity to challenge the 38.2% golden resistance zone around 68,000.

　　Overall, I believe this market has shifted from unilateral decline to a rebound and repair phase. In the short term, focus on support levels of 64,600-64,000, with strong support at 62,000, resistance at 68,145, and strong resistance at 70,900. From the perspective of indicator resonance, the MACD golden cross, the bullish volume is maintaining release, and the BOLL is opening upwards, indicating an overall bullish movement. However, the KDJ has entered the overbought area, so I estimate that the market will likely first consolidate around 65,000 to digest some profits before attempting to push toward 68,000.

　　In terms of strategy, I believe that as long as the price stays above 64,600, the bullish rebound trend is not over. Short-term caution is advised for any pullbacks at high levels, but the overall strategy remains to buy on the dip. Key attention will be on whether the 68,000 level can be broken; once it stabilizes with increased volume, the market will have the chance to further open up upward space.

　　It is better to provide you with a correct mindset and trend than to give you a hundred percent accurate suggestion; teaching a man to fish is better than giving him fish, suggestions may earn in the short term, but learning to think will earn a lifetime!

　　Written on: (2026-06-15, 18:10)

　　(Article - Master Recommends Cryptocurrency) Disclaimer: Online publications may have delays; the above suggestions are for reference only. Investing carries risks, and entering the market requires caution!

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