No matter how you look at the current situation, the likelihood of peace talks has greatly diminished, even if Israel continues to provoke. This should not affect the peace negotiations signed between the United States and Iran on Friday. For Trump, this is, on one hand, a birthday gift for himself, and on the other hand, it is for the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting early Thursday morning.

Since the message was released, WTI oil prices have already dropped to around $79. The market should focus on waiting for the withdrawal of U.S. warships, and it should take some time for the Strait of Hormuz to be completely clear. After the official signing on Friday, there might be another wave of decline. As long as the Strait of Hormuz is not blocked, it is only a matter of time before WTI falls below $70.

For the United States, recent inflation mainly comes from oil prices and the rising prices of related goods driven by oil prices. A decrease in oil prices naturally leads to a more forward-looking prediction of inflation data. Thursday's dot plot is quite important and needs to be examined carefully, especially to see who is voting for a rate cut.

The Nasdaq and S&P futures both gapped up more than 2%. Today should be a good day. Consequently, bitcoin:native has also returned to above $65,000. The market has temporarily breathed a sigh of relief, and now let's see Wash's performance.

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