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Kraken, what move will you make next?

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Foresight News
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14 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.
After obtaining the Federal Reserve master account, Kraken intends to conduct deeper business.

Written by: KarenZ, Foresight News

On March 4, the moment Kraken announced it had acquired a Federal Reserve master account, the company became less like an ordinary cryptocurrency exchange.

In the past, the competition among cryptocurrency exchanges was mostly about more conspicuous things: who could list coins faster, who had more derivatives, who could handle a larger trading volume during the hottest market conditions, and who could keep more retail investors on their app. However, Kraken's recent actions point to a different level. It first plugged itself into one of the core payment tracks in the United States, followed by acquiring derivatives clearing licenses, adding stablecoin capabilities to its payment network, and incorporating tokenized stocks into the same account and collateral logic.

Piecing together these fragments, Kraken is not aiming to become a "larger" exchange, but rather a deeper financial infrastructure.

From "Trading Gateway" to "Unified Infrastructure"

If we only look at individual events, Kraken has appeared to be rapidly expanding in recent months; however, connecting these dots reveals that it is doing something more specific: transforming itself from a trading gateway into a financial infrastructure capable of supporting trading, clearing, payments, custody, and tokenized assets.

This judgment is not a vague speculation. In the 2025 full-year financial update disclosed by Kraken in February 2026, the parent company Payward was already described as a "unified infrastructure layer" supporting businesses like Kraken, NinjaTrader, and xStocks.

The update provided several key figures: an adjusted revenue of $2.2 billion for 2025, an adjusted EBITDA of $531 million, an annual platform trading volume of $2 trillion, a platform asset scale of $48.2 billion, and an increase in funded accounts to 5.7 million.

While numbers are certainly important, more crucial is the shift in organizational narrative. It no longer emphasizes trade revenue and user growth but instead starts to highlight shared liquidity pools, a unified margin engine, unified risk control, and a licensing framework. This is a very typical infrastructure discourse, indicating that it wants to integrate different business lines into the same underlying system.

For cryptocurrency companies, this is also a less straightforward path. Payment tracks, licensing stacks, custody frameworks, and clearing logic are usually slow and difficult to articulate, and may not even be very noticeable in the early stages. However, once the industry enters a deeper institutional integration phase, it is often these relatively quieter aspects that truly determine the platform's potential.

Derivatives, Payments, Tokenized Stocks—Kraken Completes the Foundation Piece by Piece

Kraken's recent changes first focused on derivatives and clearing.

In March 2025, Kraken announced the acquisition of the U.S. retail futures platform NinjaTrader for $1.5 billion (the deal was completed two months later), thereby entering the U.S. regulated futures market. On April 17, 2026, Payward announced plans to acquire Bitnomial for up to $550 million in cash and stock. The value of Bitnomial isn't in its brand or user base but in its portfolio of CFTC licenses. Both Kraken and Bitnomial made it clear in their announcements that the core of this transaction is to consolidate U.S.-based brokerage, exchange, and clearing capabilities onto one platform as much as possible.

On May 6, Kraken Pro launched CFTC-regulated spot margin trading for eligible U.S. retail users. This action itself was not novel, but it indicates that what Kraken wants to achieve is not just "one more leveraged product," but rather to bring back the high-risk, high-frequency demands of users that might have previously flowed to offshore platforms, back into the U.S. regulatory framework. Many exchanges have been vying for derivatives market share, but what ultimately determines the ceiling is who can effectively connect margin, risk, clearing, and fiat currency pathways.

The second focus is payments. On May 5, Kraken announced a partnership with MoneyGram, allowing users to convert cryptocurrency assets into cash in over 100 countries and regions. On the surface, this looks like a retail function, but what it truly addresses is how on-chain assets can be safely and compliantly returned to the real financial system. Many platforms allow users to buy coins, swap coins, and hold stablecoins, but find it difficult to handle withdrawals, cross-border transactions, multi-currency conversions, and offline cash-outs smoothly.

Immediately following, on May 7, Payward announced plans to acquire the Hong Kong-based stablecoin payment infrastructure company Reap for up to $600 million, incorporating stablecoin issuance, cross-border payments, and enterprise-level payment capabilities into Payward Services. The former connects cash networks while the latter complements enterprise-level payment interfaces and stablecoin fund dispatching. Looking at these two moves together, Kraken is attempting to complete a comprehensive pathway: how users and institutions can take their on-chain assets out, how to switch between card networks, banking pathways, and blockchains, and who will be responsible for the clearing and compliance at this level. It is worth noting that this acquisition also expands its regulatory and market footprint. Payward emphasized in the announcement that Reap's existing licenses and operational capabilities would facilitate its quicker entry into the Asia-Pacific and Americas markets.

Looking further back, the importance of the Federal Reserve master account becomes clearer. It does not equate to all the Federal Reserve services enjoyed by traditional commercial banks, but it still signifies a shift in Kraken's position regarding fiat currency clearing and payment infrastructure. In the past, many crypto companies had to rely on intermediary banks to complete dollar settlements and institutional-level fiat circulation; now, Kraken has at least begun to move closer to a position associated with sovereign financial infrastructure. For a company looking to create an institutionalized foundation, this step is far more significant than merely acquiring another license.

The third point of focus is tokenized equities. Kraken officially disclosed that xStocks, when launched in June 2025, would include 60 U.S. stocks and ETFs, which expanded to over 100 by March 2026, with plans to extend coverage to over 500 by the end of 2026. In February, Kraken also launched regulated perpetual contracts based on xStocks, allowing non-U.S. users to trade U.S. stocks, indices, and gold-related assets 24/7. Since its launch in 2025, the xStocks framework has processed over $30 billion in trading volume.

Even more noteworthy is that on May 12, Payward announced a strategic partnership with Franklin Templeton, advancing Kraken's tokenization narrative from "moving stocks onto the blockchain" to "moving institutional asset management products onto the blockchain." According to the announcement, both parties will collaborate around tokenized assets, qualified custodianship, yield-generating products, and institutional-level digital financial services, focusing on integrating Franklin Templeton's tokenized money market fund product BENJI into the Kraken platform and jointly designing a series of tokenized yield products aimed at institutional clients that could potentially be opened to a broader user base within regulatory limits. For Kraken, the significance of this step lies not only in having a heavyweight partner but also in its attempt to position itself as the entry point for institutional digital asset allocation, liquidity acquisition, and yield management.

If xStocks addresses the "which traditional assets can be traded on-chain," then the partnership with Franklin Templeton fills in the gap of "after going on-chain, how these assets can truly fit into the logic of institutional fund allocation." This means that Kraken is not only betting on trading activity but is also pursuing a more complete direction: enabling tokenized assets to possess yield, custodianship, liquidity, and programmability, and integrating into the actual account systems that institutional clients can use. For a company looking to transition from a cryptocurrency exchange to a financial infrastructure platform, this is more critical than merely expanding its asset product lines.

This is also why Kraken continues to push towards custody and institutional identity. On May 8, Payward applied for a national trust company license with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), aiming to establish Payward National Trust Company to serve institutional-grade digital asset custody. For institutional funds, whether a platform can handle larger-scale assets depends not only on whether the technology is secure but also on whether the custodial identity, regulatory visibility, fiat currency pathways, and risk control are sufficiently comprehensive.

What Kraken is Competing for is More than Just an IPO

Because Kraken is attempting to transform itself from an exchange into an institutional financial base, its IPO narrative appears somewhat awkward.

On one hand, the company is clearly preparing for a public listing. Kraken's co-CEO Arjun Sethi stated at Consensus Miami in May 2026 that Kraken is about "80% done" with its IPO preparations.

On the other hand, the market’s valuation methods for such companies might not be as straightforward as for a high-growth front-end platform. What Kraken is doing is a slower, heavier process with a longer return cycle: trying to enclose trading, payments, clearing, custodianship, and multi-asset account systems within an institutionalized framework as much as possible. Once such a platform operates smoothly, its moat will be very deep; however, before that happens, the capital markets might not be willing to offer a high premium for integration costs, regulatory uncertainties, and organizational complexities.

Yet from another perspective, this may very well be the most intriguing aspect of Kraken. Once cryptocurrency assets, tokenized stocks, stablecoin payments, and institutional custody gradually enter the same account and collateral framework, the true pricing power may not come from the most conspicuous gateway but rather from the underlying system that no one is willing to easily reconstruct.

However, Kraken's biggest test right now may stem precisely from its reliance on an expansion approach. In this round of transformation, Bitnomial, Reap, and NinjaTrader were almost entirely capabilities acquired through acquisition rather than grown internally. Acquisitions can quickly fill gaps in licenses, teams, and market access, but they cannot inherently create a unified system, culture, and execution rhythm. For Kraken, the real challenge is no longer about "what to buy" but whether it can integrate these acquired modules into a cohesive risk, compliance, and account logic.

This is why, although Kraken's story is clear, the time for conclusions has not yet arrived. The integration of Bitnomial and Reap will take time, the OCC application is not straightforward, and the Master Account does not guarantee that regulatory friction will disappear. What Kraken is currently showcasing resembles a blueprint that has already been laid out; whether it can ultimately become that deeper financial infrastructure will depend not on whether it will continue to act but on whether these pieces it has already acquired can truly form a complete picture.

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