⚠️ Risk Warning
The following content is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.
📊 Market Overview on 2026-04-15 (as of 13:45)
• BTC: Approximately $74,400; 24h range $73,800–$76,000; high volatility, pulling back after reaching the peak
• ETH: Approximately $2,330; 24h range $2,300–$2,410; following BTC, facing pressure at high levels
🧠 Market Analysis (BTC+ETH)
Bitcoin (BTC)
• Technical Analysis
◦ Short-term: 73,800-74,000 is a strong support for the day; 76,000 is a key resistance (has faced resistance multiple times)
◦ Mid-term: 72,500-73,000 is a critical tipping point; breaking below indicates a target of 70,000
◦ Volume: Increasing volume on upward movement, decreasing volume on pullback, bullish momentum weakening
• Fundamental Analysis
◦ US BTC spot ETF net inflow of $471 million, strengthening institutional support
◦ Decrease in miner selling pressure (down over 40% from last month), long-term holders dominant
◦ Macroeconomic: Weakening US dollar, easing Middle East tensions, warming risk appetite
Ethereum (ETH)
• Technical Analysis
◦ Short-term: 2,300 is the daily support; 2,380-2,400 is a strong resistance zone (dense upper shadows)
◦ Mid-term: 2,250-2,280 is a key defensive level; breaking below indicates a target of 2,200 or even 2,000
◦ Indicators: MACD bullish volume decreasing, price-volume divergence, caution against false breakthroughs
• Fundamental Analysis
◦ On-chain activity rebounding, but short-term speculative funds exiting, concentrated selling pressure
◦ Ecosystem: Layer 2 and AI + on-chain narrative supporting medium to long-term value
🎯 Intraday Strategy (4.15)
Bitcoin (BTC)
• Long Position
◦ Entry: 74,000-74,200
◦ Stop Loss: 73,000 (exit if broken)
◦ Target: 75,500-76,000 (take profit in batches)
• Short Position
◦ Entry: 75,500-76,000 (when under pressure and falling)
◦ Stop Loss: 77,000
◦ Target: 74,000-73,000
Ethereum (ETH)
• Long Position
◦ Entry: 2,300-2,280
◦ Stop Loss: 2,250
◦ Target: 2,360-2,380
• Short Position
◦ Entry: 2,380-2,400 (when facing resistance)
◦ Stop Loss: 2,450
◦ Target: 2,320-2,560
✅ Key Points for Operation
• Position: Intraday trades ≤ 10% of total position, strict stop-loss
• Rhythm: Focus on high-level volatility, do not chase highs, avoid blindly bottom-fishing
• Risk Control: If breaking key support/resistance, immediately adjust strategy
• Macroeconomic: Pay attention to evening US stock market, US dollar index, and Middle East news
Follow the public account — Bit Bear X, to keep abreast of first-hand strategy consultations
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