Last winter, a friend who does quantitative trading suddenly came to me and asked: "Do you believe in fortune telling?"
I said I don't believe in it. He said he doesn't believe in it either.
Then he told me a story.
Two years ago, he lost nearly 2 million, and for three consecutive months, he was glued to the market until four in the morning, and he was almost worn out. One day, his wife took him to a temple to relax, and at the entrance of the temple, there was an old man setting up a fortune-telling booth. His wife insisted on getting a reading, which cost 30 yuan.
The old man looked at his birth date and said one thing: "Your problem is not bad luck, it's that you can't distinguish what you can control and what you can't."
He thought at the time that this was just the correct nonsense.
But that night, he couldn't sleep, tossing and turning, thinking about this sentence. The next day, he did one thing—he cleared all the positions where he had no information advantage, cut over a dozen stocks, and only kept three that he truly understood.
That year, those three stocks earned him 1.7 million.
He later told me: "A lesson I didn't learn that cost me 2 million was made clear to me by a 30-yuan old man in one sentence. Do you think he predicted my fortune, or did he just say what I needed to hear?"
I thought for a long time and felt that this might be the true value of fortune telling—it’s not about predicting the future, but when you're anxious to the point where you can't hear your own voice, it uses an external force to help you quiet down and see again what you already know.
Have you had similar experiences?
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