The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to come! Hello everyone, I am your friend, Old Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable cryptocurrency information to all coin friends. Thank you for your attention and likes, and we reject any market smoke bombs!

Bitcoin has fallen below the seventy thousand mark, and the subsequent movements are extremely erratic. The market is flooded with smoke bombs, causing most users to become confused. This critical gap indeed needs your attention; today’s article from Old Cui continues to address the questions you care about. The main theme of the article also targets common issues that novice users typically face, providing focused explanations. With the explosion of some altcoins, a growth of 9% in one day has attracted some novice users again. Finding Old Cui is simply about discerning when to enter and exit; to put it plainly, there are no precise points, only the correct range. For example, the previous judgment Old Cui made regarding the battle at the seventy thousand mark for Bitcoin—whether it stabilizes, breaks through, or falls below—will initiate a new round of trends. These short-term trends are quite easy to judge. The method of judgment is also extremely simple: it is the point where the main force bets, which is also the advantage of the crypto circle.

You can directly view the microstrategy data, which is also public. More than 1,000 Bitcoins have been held at 68,000, 70,000, and 74,000. At the same time, BlackRock has made two purchases of over 3,000 at above seventy thousand. These operations will naturally lead to short-term fluctuations, distinguishing upward trends, but they do not affect the overall financial environment. So what is the best operation for novice users? The method with the highest returns must also be to sell high and buy low, a professional term that can be seen in any market. This is just talk; selling high and buying low does not exist in Old Cui's eyes, especially for novice users; you must follow the big trend. Many friends will say they already saw a bearish trend at 126,000. Old Cui also mentioned that growth was indeed weak at that time, whether it was last year’s breakthrough of 126,000 or the early attempt at 110,000; there is a clear capital connection issue at play, enduring a stretch of one thousand six hundred points for several months—anyone with keen eyesight can see it.

At that time, Old Cui gave a very clear perspective: it was not a big problem to be bearish in the short term; however, if you convert this to a yearly basis, 126,000 will not naturally create a pressure point. This is regarding the spot market; it wasn't until falling below the hundred thousand key point that short selling was adopted to compensate for losses. Many friends think it is very simple; the financial market is just about buying more at low points, often blaming themselves due to individual cases; this is a major investment taboo. Who does not want to be Satoshi Nakamoto? Just put forward the concept, publish a paper, leave the practical aspects to engineers at all levels, and once it is built successfully, lie back and make money. But you must ask yourself, in 2008, the domestic situation was still in the period of real estate expansion; you probably never even had the chance to touch that theory—how can it become your belief? Moreover, among the first batch of believers built, 90% chose to sell at their psychological expected price—how can you be certain?

In investment, do not look back from a god’s perspective; have a clear understanding of yourself. Regarding the future of Bitcoin, Old Cui has provided extensive education and various ways to recharge faith. Those who can withstand the bear market cycle naturally have a certain faith in this market; why not persist? Old Cui always sets his own standards among the 80% of investors and thinks very simply: how to play the role of an investor well. Your requirements are also the same; after many friends find Old Cui, their words and actions can reveal their strengths and weaknesses, so for the vast majority of users, Old Cui's conclusion is that his quota is full; it’s a simple logic. Old Cui also knows very well that what you are missing cannot be resolved by just one Old Cui. Straying a bit too far, all you need to remember is to observe the capital entrance positions more closely in the short term; this is a unique advantage of the crypto space.

So where does Old Cui's prediction of eighty thousand in March come from? This is a conclusion that combines funding and news. In the middle of the month, the U.S. Congress clearly expressed distrust of Trump, showing signs of calming down, while U.S. stocks and gold were continuously hit, and crude oil prices soared coinciding with the rise in the crypto space. Coupling with the movement of short-term funds, there was a significant amount of buying at the 68,000 position, and the inflow of funds has been persistent. Elon Musk announced that in April, X will launch Bitcoin trading services, which will naturally support this wave of growth. However, this growth is certainly not sustainable; how was this mid-term judgment reached? You need to broaden your perspective; currently, the best-performing financial entity globally is actually our domestic market. Compared to the tariff war, under normal logic, the domestic export data is naturally hindered. Of course, this is a bilateral issue that will not be elaborated on. The data from the U.S. is not worth referencing; you only need to see that they are indeed continuing inflation.

This reflects the impact of the tariff war; why has domestic data exports increased significantly? This is what you need to think about. So what kind of impact will domestic strength bring to the crypto space? This is also something you need to contemplate, because the domestic market does not support the cryptocurrency market. The term "the East rises while the West falls" has become a reality; one side supports while the other opposes. Now, the opposition holds an absolute advantage, and naturally, the supportive side finds itself at a disadvantage. During Trump's administration, Old Cui had already made predictions about the crypto space, stating that Trump’s national policy requires the development of the dollar’s weakening, the return of manufacturing, and the appreciation of dollar assets, forming a complete logical line. If this logical line holds, then using stablecoins linked to the dollar in the crypto space can essentially confirm that the cryptocurrency market will become a dollar asset. However, the change brought by reality is that under Trump’s limitless ambition expansion, it has made the dollar strong while dollar assets remain weak, which will have a direct impact on the crypto market. In the mid-term, it is impossible for it to return to a strong state; thus, falling will become the trend.

Old Cui summarizes: After explaining so much, you need to remember that the problems currently facing the crypto space are not just an independent funding connection issue. The U.S. proposed the idea of stablecoins, which has not been extended; the desired return of manufacturing and even the aggregation of gray industry capital has not succeeded. These issues require the U.S. to find a way to resolve them, and they have indeed implemented many measures regarding the crypto space, but it is still insufficient. Old Cui can even see that the strategies targeting the domestic market after bringing in funds show that those involved in gray industries are smarter. The current crypto space struggles because the cashing processes are obstructed, and the targeted measures taken by the opposing side are extremely effective, while Europe and Japan and South Korea have noticeably no intention of following suit. The measures taken by the U.S. further restrict the liquidity of crypto capital, and various countries have also enacted corresponding laws, all aimed at preventing capital outflows. To return to the right track, the first step for the crypto space is to cease hostilities; the second step is to adapt the U.S. strategy towards the crypto space. To gain capital’s favor, achieving free trading in the crypto space is imperative. In terms of short-term aspects, observe the capital inflow; previously at the 65,000 position, a large amount of capital was involved, and this position showed clear contention. The successful repair of the upper seventy thousand mark will inevitably also result in a wave of short-term growth. These key supports and pressures, whether broken or breached, will bring about a new round of market arrival, at least around 2,000 points! In the mid-term, bears will dominate; in the long term, as long as hostilities cease, new highs will emerge; Old Cui defines this round of fluctuation as the preparation phase before the bull market begins. Lastly, a suggestion for novices: hold long positions and do not short; beginners should avoid operating both long and short positions simultaneously, firmly establish one position, achieve the desired result, and then withdraw.

The original content is created by the public account: Old Cui Talks Crypto. For assistance, please contact directly.

Old Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; experts can see five, seven, or even more than ten steps ahead, while those with poor skills can only see two or three steps. The skilled consider the overall situation and the major trends, not weighing a single piece or territory heavily but aiming for the final victory in chess; the unskilled, however, will fiercely compete for every inch and frequently switch between long and short, only contending for short-term gains, and end up frequently trapped.

This material is for learning and reference only and does not constitute trading advice; trade at your own risk!

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。