The world is full of hustle and bustle, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit again! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focused on analyzing digital currency market trends, striving to convey the most valuable information about the currency market to the majority of coin friends. Welcome to all coin friends' attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens!  

The continuous decline for three days has brought Bitcoin to a short-term new low at the 65548 position. Fortunately, it has not fallen below the 65 mark, and the distance to the new low of 60K we mentioned is still relatively stable. Many friends are very sensitive to this point, and many friends who come to Lao Cui have a very clear purpose; they all want a perfect entry point. Everyone's expectations of Lao Cui may be a bit too high, and most friends think too simply about these issues. When Lao Cui first entered this industry, he also thought that showing a point to see whether it was correct could reveal an analyst’s level. At that time, young and with some experience in securities exchanges, the accuracy was indeed very high, and it brought Lao Cui tremendous benefits. Whether for users or his own earnings, the cryptocurrency market has far greater returns than other markets. This also made Lao Cui understand more about how much a good entry point can yield, seeing too many people leap through social classes because of a bull market, even satisfying their inner desires.

Lao Cui himself is not a social researcher and does not care too much about how the story unfolds, but 90% of the successful figures in the coin circle have looked back for Lao Cui within a short period of half a year to a year. This aligns very well with our traditional Daoist teachings, "wealth comes from risk but can also be lost from risk." It was then that Lao Cui began to change his thinking. He has always felt that giving a man a fish is not as good as teaching him to fish. So Lao Cui started to convey his experiences and knowledge to everyone, but the noticeable effect was not good, and it did not have too great an impact on everyone. The gambling mentality cannot be changed, and it reminds everyone not to argue with gamblers, as the process of arguing can easily influence your own thoughts. A gambler's heart can never be satisfied; even with a perfect trade, even maintaining synchronized entry and exit, someone will still incur losses. At the middle of the month, Lao Cui gave an example: many friends thought that Lao Cui made a significant misjudgment in the market prediction midway, but at the same time, Lao Cui also provided warning signals to start gradually exiting at Ethereum 4500-5000. What was the result?

The result is very important. No matter how one boasts of their achievements, without earnings it is a failed strategy. The financial market only recognizes heroes by success or failure; failure means you deserve to be crushed. Many novice users come to discuss Livermore’s principles with Lao Cui or talk about position control techniques. Lao Cui has also discussed the achievements of this so-called king of speculation; he has many holding methods that Lao Cui still uses, but everyone needs to remember that he is not a deity. What he said and did is more of a recount of the market's later performance; his biography is written by others, and there are too many subjective factors involved. Those who are good should learn from it. Most friends do not have this mindset. The most important point Lao Cui learned from Livermore is to respect the market. This point can be seen in Buffett but not as clearly. People often cite what the sages said, quoting classics, and it seems they know everything about what Buffett and Livermore had for breakfast, how could such characters appear in the coin circle?

The drawbacks of quoting classics are very obvious: it can lead to being stuck in a formula. This also distinguishes investment experts from beginners. There is no absolutely correct market trend, nor is there an absolutely correct investment. When purchasing spot, Lao Cui once mentioned that to reach a higher position, one can only exchange time for space. Bitcoin is already considered a high-return financial product; it has been 18 years since 2008. Many people say that my emergence has changed the coin circle; in fact, I just believed a bit earlier than others. This belief that Lao Cui has is absent in 99% of people in the coin circle. This resulted in Li Xiaolai's ridicule after he liquidated his bitcoins at $20,000, yet the price kept rising. Can everyone still hear his voice? One fair point about the financial market is that there is no distinction between noble and humble; there are only varying levels of understanding. If you treat cryptocurrency as a bubble, then go short; if you see cryptocurrency as an indispensable part of the future, then go long and verify yourself.

Many friends blame their losses on the analyst’s reasons. You have asked me so many times, yet you don’t give me point levels, and even when I add you, you don’t approve it; this resentment gradually deepens. This also confuses Lao Cui. I have never privately discussed the market with these people, how can a loss still be attributed to Lao Cui? Whether Lao Cui is bullish or bearish, your final choice is your truest inner thought. If you choose to agree with this viewpoint, it’s just acknowledging your inner thoughts. Every article states that if the direction is wrong, stop-loss should be applied; it is still possible to short contracts, and the result is simply holding onto the spot. At the moment of holding, Lao Cui has also done his duty; every user who has consulted Lao Cui has been told that if they choose to hold, it must be in years. Those who cannot hold for even a year, what profits can you talk about? The cryptocurrency market is different from traditional finance; there are too many variables. Just like last year, no one could have predicted the outbreak of the Israel-Palestine conflict, nor could anyone have imagined that the U.S. would act in this way.

Everyone reading this article surely did not foresee the eruption of gold and oil, even though these things were predicted by Lao Cui back in 2020-2022, almost five years ago. Now you see the prices, which validate Lao Cui's thoughts, but what does it mean? Lao Cui’s view is that if you cannot hold onto gold yourself, entering at 600 and exiting at over 900 (domestic gold prices), Lao Cui thinks that those who continue to hold are just amateurs. What happened next? It broke through 1000 and still maintained strong momentum. I have always told everyone to follow the trend, yet some will always focus on short-term movements. Contracts can be done, but if you always focus on the gains and losses of one order, what is the meaning? These gamblers, even if they earn at the level of Musk's wealth, still only end up as a single stock that gets cut; the so-called defying destiny is just a ticket to experience being a billionaire. Every industry needs to have a sustainable perspective and a developmental angle for evaluation; the market and industry do not concern themselves with short-term gains and losses.

Lao Cui summarizes: Today's article does not contain any market trend explanation; more so, I hope everyone can reach a balance with Lao Cui. The gamblers should try to find others and not look for Lao Cui anymore. Regarding market trends, Friday I only mentioned briefly, notifying everyone that there will be major fluctuations later. Including next week, market fluctuations will remain very intense. There is only one factor, which is military conflict. Vance says they will soon withdraw troops, while Trump threatens to deploy ground troops. Lao Cui's conclusion is just one point: the militarization will only be one wave; the deployment of ground troops can only mean one thing, which is to compete for control of the strait, but there will not be large-scale actions. Once this is confirmed, everyone must understand that once the military conflict begins, the coin price will certainly fluctuate, but Lao Cui still does not see a new low. Everyone should pay close attention to military developments, which is more effective than any indicator. The game between interest rate hikes and cuts will continue; both sides are similar to military conflict: leaking information about rate hikes will cause prices to drop, while leaking information about rate cuts will lead to price increases. The recent factor is that the CPI data announced in March will again fall into contention. At the end of the article, Lao Cui is bullish!

Original article created by the public account: Lao Cui Talks about Coins. For assistance, you can contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; experts can see five moves, seven moves, or even ten steps ahead, while those with low skill can only see two or three moves. The high ones consider the overall situation, strategize on the trend, not placing importance on a single piece or territory, aiming for the ultimate win, while the low ones grapple for every inch of land, frequently switching between bullish and bearish, only concerned with short-term gains, and frequently find themselves trapped.

This material is for study and reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trade at your own risk!

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