News: Certainty Completely Shatters Panic
“April 9” Becomes the Market Anchor: Israeli officials revealed that the U.S. plans to end the war in Iraq on April 9, and Trump has rescinded the 48-hour ultimatum.
Core Logic: What the market fears most is “not knowing when to strike,” but now it has become “knowing when to stop.” This certainty allows institutional funds to dare to make large-scale adjustments above the 70,000 mark, and the current fluctuation is turnover rather than distribution. Peace Dividend Continues to Be Released: The strait has reopened, oil prices have stabilized, and the risk aversion sentiment in the global financial market (VIX) is quickly fading, which provides liquidity for BTC to challenge new highs.
Technical Aspects: 'Box Solidification' After V Turn
Indicator Repair (MACD): See Chart 12. The 1-hour MACD experienced a perfect “fake drop at the dead cross,” and the fast and slow lines are currently narrowing above the zero axis, with green bars showing signs of re-expansion. Technically, this is a typical bullish continuation pattern.
TD Indicator and Moving Averages: * The price is currently blocked by the previous spike high point area, where a green TD9 signal has appeared. This explains why the market was a bit “weak” this afternoon, as it digests the overbought pressure.
Alligator Line: The three lines are still opening upwards, and the price bouncing back to the green line (the lip line) indicates that the bullish trend remains unchanged.
Support and Resistance:
Strong Support: 70,200 - 70,500
Strong Resistance: 71,800 (the top of yesterday’s spike) 73,500 (previous high resistance zone)
What's Next? (Market Projection)
Short-term (Tonight): Expected to continue narrow fluctuations in 70,800 - 71,500, grinding down impatient leveraged funds.
Breakout Point: Once it breaks through 71,800 with volume, it will quickly trigger short-squeeze buy orders, directly pushing prices above 73,000 to complete the final sprint to the historic high of $75,000.
Today's Practical Operation Suggestions
Long Position Holding: Your 70,200 long position is recommended to continue holding.
Adjusting Stop Loss: Move the stop-loss level up to 70,500. This way, even if there’s a “nighttime reversal,” you can exit profitably.
Take Profit Targets: First target: 72,500 (reduce half, secure profits)
Second target: 75,000+ (hold the remaining for the historic new high)
For Those Who Haven't Entered: If it pulls back near 70,600, you can build positions in batches, but stop loss must be adhered to.
“Didn’t dare to bottom-fish at $67k last night? Don’t dare to enter at $70k today? Follow Cake Daddy, and see through the geopolitical and candlestick game logic!”
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