Despite efforts to stabilize following a steep decline, the current market structure of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is exhibiting signs of increasing fragility. Near local lows, price action has slowed and momentum indicators paint a less hopeful picture, even though the chart shows short-term rebounds.
XRP sliding up
Meanwhile, XRP is testing a rising support line, putting the asset in a critical technical zone. Strong selling pressure has already been applied to the market, and price action indicates that bears are still in charge overall.
Now the question is whether this support will be able to withstand enough selling to slow the downtrend, or if it will eventually break under pressure.
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Source: XRPLedger
One of the few remaining structures keeping XRP from falling into a more severe correction is the support line that can be seen on the chart. Repeated attempts to stabilize around this region in recent candles indicate that buyers are attempting to defend it. The larger context is still challenging, though.
While all of the major moving averages are sloping downward, XRP is still trading below them, indicating that momentum is still in favor of sellers rather than a long-term recovery.
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It is feasible to hold the line, but the likelihood primarily depends on whether market participation increases. Support zones often get weaker with each test if there is not more buying volume.
Because sell orders continue to press into the same area, multiple touches typically result in decreased reliability. The current support might only postpone another leg lower rather than reverse the trend if the market is unable to produce a strong bounce.
The upside may initially be restricted to recovering adjacent moving averages, which are currently acting as resistance, if XRP is able to hold and generate a rebound. This would probably result in a period of consolidation instead of a sudden bullish reversal.
Bitcoin's potential recovery attempt
Following the recent sell-off, Bitcoin created what appeared to be a small recovery structure on the chart through a brief consolidation. The price attempted to initiate brief upward movement by pushing higher from the local bottom.
But momentum has not gone in the same direction. While the price tries to rise, indicators like RSI are moving sideways or even declining, indicating that buyers are not contributing enough strength to maintain a true reversal. This discrepancy between momentum and price movement creates the market's current divergence.
BTC/USDT Chart by TradingView
Concern is increased by the larger environment. Key moving averages are still below Bitcoin, and they are still declining. This indicates that rallies are currently taking place within a negative structure rather than indicating the start of a new bull phase, and the overall trend is still bearish.
The absence of high follow-through volume is another problem. There is a greater likelihood that the move is motivated by short covering rather than actual demand because the recent bounce has not drawn strong participation.
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If the price is struggling against resistance and momentum keeps ebbing, the market might be preparing for another leg down.
Looking at it more broadly, this divergence points to a significant potential issue with Bitcoin's attempt to rise. At a time when confirmation was most needed, the asset seems to be losing energy rather than increasing in strength.
The risk of fresh selling pressure is still high unless momentum improves and the price swiftly reclaims higher technical levels.
Ethereum oversold
Buyers are trying to regain control and drive the price back toward the psychologically significant $2,000 level, as seen by the recent bounce on the chart. Short-term optimism is brought about by the move, but the overall technical picture indicates that the path upward is still challenging.
The recovery began when ETH leveled off close to local lows, where strong selling pressure began to lessen. Short-term traders are responding to the relief move as momentum indicators try to move higher.
Reclaiming the $2,000 level becomes a feasible short-term goal if this bounce continues, especially given how close the price is to that area right now. A successful recovery above that point might serve as a temporary basis, opening the door for a more extensive stabilization stage.
Source: Coinglass
But what matters is the context of the bounce. All of the major moving averages, which are sloping downward and serving as dynamic resistance, are still below Ethereum. The former support area, which was in the mid-$2,000 range, has already vanished and is now a ceiling instead of a floor.
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Moreover, volume is unable to verify a significant reversal. The lack of aggressive participation typically observed at true market bottoms in the recent upward movement suggests that buyers may still be apprehensive.
Rallying toward $2,000 runs the risk of being sold into rapidly in the absence of strong follow-through, particularly if general market conditions continue to be weak.
As a result, the likelihood of Ethereum recovering and holding above $2,000 in a sustainable manner is still quite low. Although the bounce is taking place against strong resistance and waning trend momentum, it may still continue in the near future.
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