For Trump, the most important moment after taking office is approaching. This Friday (11 PM Beijing time) is the U.S. Supreme Court's opinion consultation day, which marks a key point where the Supreme Court will first directly address the legality of Trump's global tariffs at a procedural level. It could even be the first time the Supreme Court makes a ruling on Trump's global tariff policy.

Currently, the support rate on Kalshi is only 30%, which means it is very likely that the Supreme Court will initially determine that Trump's tariffs are illegal. This would have a significant impact on Trump, as a large part of his work after taking office in 2025 will revolve around these tariffs.

Moreover, the previously mentioned plan to distribute money to the public also relies on tariffs. If Trump's tariffs are deemed illegal and canceled or partially canceled, although the Trump administration may use other means to maintain some tariffs, it is unlikely to be the comprehensive tariffs that were in place before.

The cancellation of tariffs, while it would greatly affect Trump's approval ratings and credibility, would still help with inflation in the U.S. More importantly, if Trump's tariffs are declared illegal, it would have a tremendous impact on the boundaries of his power.

@bitget VIP, lower fees, better benefits

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。