This week, the world’s wealthiest man, Elon Musk—the force behind Tesla, SpaceX, and the owner of X (formerly Twitter)—locked horns with the 47th U.S. President, Donald Trump. What triggered the clash? Musk has been loudly condemning the “Big, Beautiful Bill” (BBB), labeling it a “disgusting abomination” in a flurry of posts on his X platform.

Musk took aim at the bill, blasting it as a “massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending bill” and slamming lawmakers who backed it. He warned it would balloon the federal deficit and national debt. Markets wobbled after his comments for reasons no one can quite explain, and bitcoin (BTC) briefly dipped to just over the $100,000 range before bouncing back to the $106,000 zone by June 8.

Trump fired back, claiming he would’ve won the election without Musk’s help and accusing him of being bitter over tweaks to the electric vehicle (EV) legislation. He even floated the idea of axing the billions in federal subsidies Musk’s businesses receive. Naturally, the feud sent prediction markets like Polymarket into overdrive.

One Polymarket bet with $81,002 in play gives Musk a 9% shot at announcing a U.S. presidential run in 2025. Another wager, with $596,843 in volume, assigns a 17% probability he’ll launch a new political party by Dec. 31, 2025, and a 7% chance he’ll do so by the end of this month. The odds of a Musk-Trump truce by July sit at 30%, while Trump apologizing to Musk by Monday is stuck below zero at -1%.

Meanwhile, Kalshi, a competing prediction platform, is also riding the drama with its own batch of bets. Kalshi traders say there’s a 40% chance Trump will yank Musk’s security clearance. There’s also a 12% chance Musk ends up back in Trump’s inner circle and a 24% chance Musk actually goes through with forming the political party he’s been talking about during this fiery back-and-forth with the president.

The Musk-Trump spat has turned into a full-blown spectacle, captivating attention like a reality show with billion-dollar stakes. While markets twitch and prediction sites buzz, millions are glued to this theater of ego and insults. It’s politics meets parody, and somehow, people can’t look away. In a world overflowing with real problems, sideshows still steal the spotlight.

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