Analyst Willy Woo shared an analysis of bitcoin’s growth prospects on Sunday, stating that the cryptocurrency has evolved from an explosive growth asset into a maturing financial instrument. Sharing insights on social media platform X, Woo contrasted the popular perception of bitcoin with the reality shown in its compound annual growth rate (CAGR) chart. “People think BTC is like a magical unicorn that climbs to infinity on moonbeams,” he said, pointing out that the era of over 100% annual growth seen in 2017 is long gone.

Woo identified 2020 as a critical turning point, describing it as the year bitcoin became institutionalized. During that period, he explained, “corporations and sovereigns started accumulating.” As more institutional capital entered the market, bitcoin’s CAGR fell sharply—from triple digits to around 30–40%—and has been declining since. He attributed this slowdown to the increasing maturity of bitcoin’s network and its growing role in capital storage. The analyst emphasized bitcoin’s status as a global financial asset, stating:

BTC is now traded as the newest macro asset in 150 years, it’ll continue to absorb capital until it reaches its equilibrium.

Projecting further into the future, Woo argued that bitcoin’s CAGR will eventually stabilize in line with broader economic trends. “Given long term monetary expansion is around 5% growth and GDP is 3% growth, I’d say 8% is where BTC CAGR will settle at,” he stated.

While that growth rate may seem modest compared to bitcoin’s early years, the analyst remains confident in its performance. He concluded:

Until then, maybe 15–20 years away, enjoy the ride because almost no publicly investable product can match BTC performance long term, even as BTC’s CAGR continues to erode.

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