Tracking real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities, today is Monday, April 7, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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A new day begins, and the crypto market is like a never-stopping super trading engine, unfolding new hotspot chapters every day. Recently, Old Trump has been swinging his tariff stick, heavily striking the U.S. stock market, causing it to plunge into a collapse. However, the head of the Federal Reserve is not swayed by Old Trump's tactics; they continue to release 🦅 as planned. The crypto market followed the trend for two days but finally couldn't hold on, heavily crashing overnight, with Bitcoin breaking through the 81,500 support to test the 77,268 line at its lowest. In the short term, the decline is still ongoing, and Ethereum is even more dismal, breaking through the 1,750 support and correcting to the 1,548 line in small steps, while altcoins are in disarray, dragged down by the market!
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The "U.S. Treasury market basis trading" is facing risks due to increased volatility in bond prices. The potential explosion of the $1 trillion U.S. Treasury basis trading could trigger a global cash rush, leading to the sell-off of all assets, including Bitcoin. A similar situation occurred in mid-March 2020 when the basis trading volume reached $500 billion. Currently, we should focus on the correction of the U.S. stock market on Monday. If the decline in U.S. stocks and other risk assets continues, it may induce further downward movement in the crypto market. Given Trump's aggressive policies, we must be fully prepared for a long-term battle; only then can we hold on until the moment when "Uncle Powell" (the market's nickname for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell) steps in to save the market. Looking back at the pandemic period in 2020, the U.S. stock market experienced four circuit breakers, and the Federal Reserve successfully saved the market through massive money printing. As long as there is this "big move" of money printing, many seemingly tricky market problems seem to be easily resolved.
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Bitcoin has released a relatively clear signal on the daily chart, currently showing a one-sided downward trend. Continuous bearish candles and gradually increasing trading volume resonate with each other. A large bearish K-line has smashed down, directly pulling the price back into the lower range, easily breaking through the key support level of 80,000, with the decline continuing to around 77,000. After a single bearish candle drop, the short-term trend has fallen into repeated winding fluctuations. After closing low at midnight, judging from the small cycle indicators, it is highly likely that a rebound will occur first in the short term, aimed at confirming the support level below. The market has sharply dropped into the oversold zone, with bears continuing to increase their positions. The auxiliary indicators show a death cross pointing downwards, and the current price is around 77,500, leaving room for further decline. The strategy remains bearish, focusing on the testing of the technical support points at 73,800-72,500!
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In the Ethereum market, the recent trend has been persistently weak, as mentioned multiple times. Following the significant drop in the Bitcoin market, Ethereum's price has dipped to around $1,548, and it is still oscillating in the low range, especially in the past few trading days, where the speed of decline has noticeably accelerated. From a technical indicator analysis, the K-line price has effectively broken below the lower Bollinger Band, and the market has entered an oversold state. At the same time, the Bollinger Band is showing an expanding trend, indicating a significant increase in market volatility, and the downward trend is likely to continue. However, given that the current market is in an oversold state, there is a certain demand for rebound repair in the short term. Nevertheless, from the overall market trend judgment, the downward pressure still dominates. For short-term investors, it is recommended to maintain a wait-and-see attitude, waiting for a clear stabilization or rebound signal at the key support level before considering entering long positions. If the price fails to stabilize or rebound effectively at the support level, the operation should still focus on short positions!
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If you are feeling confused—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the market, don’t know when to enter, don’t know how to set stop-loss, don’t understand take-profit, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to catch the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade is worth a thousand words; repeatedly losing is not as good as finding the right direction. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code below the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of review, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.
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