Over the past week, the specter of war has loomed large, following Israel’s strikes on Iranian nuclear and military installations—an act that triggered deadly retaliations and ignited concerns of a widening conflict across the region. CNN reported that a Shiite militia based in Iraq has pledged to target U.S. military installations in the region should Trump move forward with deploying American forces into the conflict.

“Undoubtedly, American bases throughout the region will become akin to duck-hunting grounds,” the Iran-backed militia said.

According to a report from Axios, President Trump is weighing whether to authorize the use of the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP)—a 30,000-pound precision weapon engineered to obliterate fortified subterranean targets—against Iran’s Fordow uranium enrichment site. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that Trump remains open to diplomatic avenues while insisting that any deal must decisively halt Iran’s ability to enrich uranium or pursue nuclear arms.

When asked about Iran’s Fordow Trump said:

We are the only ones who have the capability to do it, but that doesn’t mean I am going to do it. I have been asked about it by everybody but I haven’t made a decision.

Speculation continues to swirl across prediction markets. On Polymarket, the likelihood of the U.S. initiating military action against Iran stands at 43%. The odds have seen a modest decline since Bitcoin.com News last covered these war-themed prediction markets. So far, the contract has attracted $19.46 million in trading volume. Within the administration, Trump has held a series of high-stakes meetings to evaluate the risks and possible consequences of U.S. intervention, concentrating on whether targeted military strikes could be both necessary and narrowly executed to prevent a drawn-out engagement.

On Capitol Hill, bipartisan apprehension is mounting, as lawmakers raise alarms over the prospect of America being pulled into yet another Middle Eastern conflict and debate whether the strategic calculus justifies the danger. As hostilities escalate—evidenced by missile strikes hitting both civilian and military sites across the two nations—the global community remains on edge, awaiting Trump’s next move: whether he will pursue diplomacy or authorize force, a choice that carries unpredictable and potentially sweeping consequences for the region.

With tensions coiled tight and decisions hanging in the balance, the coming days may redefine America’s role in the Middle East. As signals of diplomacy clash with preparations for force, Trump’s ultimate call could either reignite the tinderbox or stall it. For now, markets, militaries, and global leaders are left reading between the lines—and bracing for what’s next.

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