[Probability of 'U.S.-Iran Peace Talks Before August 7' Drops to 9% on Polymarket, Down 14% in 24 Hours] Monitoring data from the PPP prediction market tool shows that the probability of 'U.S.-Iran peace talks before August 7' on Polymarket has dropped to 9%, with a 14% decline in the past 24 hours. This event will be settled based on whether representatives from the U.S. and Iran initiate the next round of formal high-level peace talks by the specified date (before 11:59 PM Eastern Time). Eligible talks must involve senior representatives from both sides participating in an in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiation round, with representatives acting in an official capacity and authorized by their respective governments. The talks must directly initiate or substantially advance diplomatic negotiations. Offline diplomacy facilitated by designated mediators, coordinators, or intermediaries may also be counted, provided that senior representatives from both the U.S. and Iran are involved in the same formal diplomatic process, with both governments informed and granting authorization. The representatives do not need to be physically present at the same location. Join the PPP signal push community to stay ahead and seize opportunities.